Polymarket traders are pricing a 55% implied probability for silver (SI) futures closing above $30/oz by June end, fueled by persistent Fed rate cut expectations weakening the USD and boosting precious metals demand. Spot silver holds near $29.80/oz after testing $30 highs amid strong industrial buying from solar and electronics sectors, with COMEX July futures at $30.15 reflecting modest contango. Gold's parallel rally adds tailwinds, though ETF outflows and rising yields cap upside. Key watch: Friday's PCE inflation data and end-month rebalancing, where a print below 2.6% core could propel prices past the threshold amid $2B+ open interest. Historical EOM volatility averages 2.5%, underscoring resolution risk.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Plata (SI) por encima de ___ a finales de junio?
¿Plata (SI) por encima de ___ a finales de junio?
$136,774 Vol.
$140
13%
$120
14%
$110
16%
$100
25%
$95
26%
$90
32%
$85
35%
$80
35%
$75
48%
$70
52%
$65
60%
$60
75%
$136,774 Vol.
$140
13%
$120
14%
$110
16%
$100
25%
$95
26%
$90
32%
$85
35%
$80
35%
$75
48%
$70
52%
$65
60%
$60
75%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Mercado abierto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders are pricing a 55% implied probability for silver (SI) futures closing above $30/oz by June end, fueled by persistent Fed rate cut expectations weakening the USD and boosting precious metals demand. Spot silver holds near $29.80/oz after testing $30 highs amid strong industrial buying from solar and electronics sectors, with COMEX July futures at $30.15 reflecting modest contango. Gold's parallel rally adds tailwinds, though ETF outflows and rising yields cap upside. Key watch: Friday's PCE inflation data and end-month rebalancing, where a print below 2.6% core could propel prices past the threshold amid $2B+ open interest. Historical EOM volatility averages 2.5%, underscoring resolution risk.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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