Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in Elon Musk at a 100% implied probability as the richest person on March 31, 2026, driven by his commanding $817 billion net worth atop the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List—over $579 billion ahead of Larry Page in second place. This unchallenged frontrunner status reflects Tesla's robust stock gains and SpaceX's soaring private valuations through March, which propelled Musk beyond the $800 billion milestone and extended his lead amid tech sector momentum. Larry Page posted a 4.78% daily uptick on March 31, but the gap remains insurmountable; realistic upsets would require an unprecedented Tesla collapse or rival windfall before the Bloomberg Billionaires Index's 5:30 PM ET snapshot, a near-impossible scenario given historical volatility patterns.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La persona más rica el 31 de marzo?
¿La persona más rica el 31 de marzo?
Elon Musk 100.0%
Larry Ellison <1%
Bernard Arnault <1%
Jensen Huang <1%
$639,515 Vol.
$639,515 Vol.
Larry Ellison
No
Bernard Arnault
No
Jensen Huang
No
Steve Ballmer
No
Sergey Brin
No
Elon Musk
Sí
Mark Zuckerberg
No
Jeff Bezos
No
Warren Buffett
No
Larry Page
No
Elon Musk 100.0%
Larry Ellison <1%
Bernard Arnault <1%
Jensen Huang <1%
$639,515 Vol.
$639,515 Vol.
Larry Ellison
No
Bernard Arnault
No
Jensen Huang
No
Steve Ballmer
No
Sergey Brin
No
Elon Musk
Sí
Mark Zuckerberg
No
Jeff Bezos
No
Warren Buffett
No
Larry Page
No
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Mercado abierto: Nov 12, 2025, 5:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Sí
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Sí
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in Elon Musk at a 100% implied probability as the richest person on March 31, 2026, driven by his commanding $817 billion net worth atop the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List—over $579 billion ahead of Larry Page in second place. This unchallenged frontrunner status reflects Tesla's robust stock gains and SpaceX's soaring private valuations through March, which propelled Musk beyond the $800 billion milestone and extended his lead amid tech sector momentum. Larry Page posted a 4.78% daily uptick on March 31, but the gap remains insurmountable; realistic upsets would require an unprecedented Tesla collapse or rival windfall before the Bloomberg Billionaires Index's 5:30 PM ET snapshot, a near-impossible scenario given historical volatility patterns.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes