Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Seoul's official station (No. 108) record a total March 2026 precipitation of 43.9 mm, driving trader consensus toward the 40-45 mm outcome at 59.3% implied probability, with 45-50 mm close behind at 36.7%. This accumulation stems from early-month fronts delivering 12.2 mm on March 2 and a peak 15.5 mm on March 5 amid rain-snow mixes, lighter mid-month showers (e.g., 4.8 mm on March 18), and late-spring rains adding 1.8 mm on March 30 plus 8.2 mm on March 31. Aligning near historical March norms of 37-47 mm, mild temperatures (+0.6°C anomaly) and typical East Asian jet stream patterns supported these events, though final KMA tallies could see minor revisions from trace measurements. Resolution hinges on the agency's monthly summary.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoPrecipitation in Seoul in March?
Precipitation in Seoul in March?
45-50mm 37.4%
35-40 mm 19.9%
60 mm+ <1%
30-35 mm <1%
$39,356 Vol.
$39,356 Vol.
31 mar 2026
<30 mm
<1%
30-35 mm
<1%
35-40 mm
18%
40-45 mm
60%
45-50mm
37%
50-55 mm
<1%
55-60 mm
<1%
60 mm+
1%
45-50mm 37.4%
35-40 mm 19.9%
60 mm+ <1%
30-35 mm <1%
$39,356 Vol.
$39,356 Vol.
31 mar 2026
<30 mm
$31,298 Vol.
<1%
30-35 mm
$2,122 Vol.
<1%
35-40 mm
$1,255 Vol.
18%
40-45 mm
$914 Vol.
60%
45-50mm
$541 Vol.
37%
50-55 mm
$408 Vol.
<1%
55-60 mm
$606 Vol.
<1%
60 mm+
$2,213 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in March, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of March at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Seoul's official station (No. 108) record a total March 2026 precipitation of 43.9 mm, driving trader consensus toward the 40-45 mm outcome at 59.3% implied probability, with 45-50 mm close behind at 36.7%. This accumulation stems from early-month fronts delivering 12.2 mm on March 2 and a peak 15.5 mm on March 5 amid rain-snow mixes, lighter mid-month showers (e.g., 4.8 mm on March 18), and late-spring rains adding 1.8 mm on March 30 plus 8.2 mm on March 31. Aligning near historical March norms of 37-47 mm, mild temperatures (+0.6°C anomaly) and typical East Asian jet stream patterns supported these events, though final KMA tallies could see minor revisions from trace measurements. Resolution hinges on the agency's monthly summary.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in March, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of March at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of March at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 13, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
Volumen
$39,356Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 13, 2026, 1:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in March, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of March at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Seoul's official station (No. 108) record a total March 2026 precipitation of 43.9 mm, driving trader consensus toward the 40-45 mm outcome at 59.3% implied probability, with 45-50 mm close behind at 36.7%. This accumulation stems from early-month fronts delivering 12.2 mm on March 2 and a peak 15.5 mm on March 5 amid rain-snow mixes, lighter mid-month showers (e.g., 4.8 mm on March 18), and late-spring rains adding 1.8 mm on March 30 plus 8.2 mm on March 31. Aligning near historical March norms of 37-47 mm, mild temperatures (+0.6°C anomaly) and typical East Asian jet stream patterns supported these events, though final KMA tallies could see minor revisions from trace measurements. Resolution hinges on the agency's monthly summary.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in March, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of March at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of March at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$39,356Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 13, 2026, 1:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Seoul's official station (No. 108) record a total March 2026 precipitation of 43.9 mm, driving trader consensus toward the 40-45 mm outcome at 59.3% implied probability, with 45-50 mm close behind at 36.7%. This accumulation stems from early-month fronts delivering 12.2 mm on March 2 and a peak 15.5 mm on March 5 amid rain-snow mixes, lighter mid-month showers (e.g., 4.8 mm on March 18), and late-spring rains adding 1.8 mm on March 30 plus 8.2 mm on March 31. Aligning near historical March norms of 37-47 mm, mild temperatures (+0.6°C anomaly) and typical East Asian jet stream patterns supported these events, though final KMA tallies could see minor revisions from trace measurements. Resolution hinges on the agency's monthly summary.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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