Trader consensus favors no Perplexity IPO before 2028 at 44.5% implied probability, reflecting the AI search engine's absence of public filing announcements or S-1 preparations amid booming private funding—most recently closing a $200 million round in September 2025 at a $20 billion valuation, up from $9 billion late 2024. Surging revenue to around $200 million annualized run rate by late 2025, driven by Pro and enterprise subscriptions, fuels optimism for high-cap outcomes like 50B–75B (29.8%) or 40B–50B (19.9%) if it goes public, though dependency on third-party large language models from OpenAI, Anthropic, and others as an orchestration layer raises risks of commoditization. Watch for Q1 2026 revenue updates or next funding signals amid intensifying competition from Google Gemini and integrated AI assistants.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoSin salida a bolsa antes de 2028 45%
40B–50B 16.8%
$50B–$75B 7.8%
$75 mil millones–$100 mil millones 4.8%
$124,354 Vol.
$124,354 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<20 mil millones
3%
$20–30 mil millones
3%
30B–40B
4%
40B–50B
20%
$50B–$75B
29%
$75 mil millones–$100 mil millones
5%
100 mil millones+
4%
Sin salida a bolsa antes de 2028
45%
Sin salida a bolsa antes de 2028 45%
40B–50B 16.8%
$50B–$75B 7.8%
$75 mil millones–$100 mil millones 4.8%
$124,354 Vol.
$124,354 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<20 mil millones
$4,381 Vol.
3%
$20–30 mil millones
$5,711 Vol.
3%
30B–40B
$0 Vol.
4%
40B–50B
$0 Vol.
20%
$50B–$75B
$6,171 Vol.
29%
$75 mil millones–$100 mil millones
$3,177 Vol.
5%
100 mil millones+
$0 Vol.
4%
Sin salida a bolsa antes de 2028
$104,914 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus favors no Perplexity IPO before 2028 at 44.5% implied probability, reflecting the AI search engine's absence of public filing announcements or S-1 preparations amid booming private funding—most recently closing a $200 million round in September 2025 at a $20 billion valuation, up from $9 billion late 2024. Surging revenue to around $200 million annualized run rate by late 2025, driven by Pro and enterprise subscriptions, fuels optimism for high-cap outcomes like 50B–75B (29.8%) or 40B–50B (19.9%) if it goes public, though dependency on third-party large language models from OpenAI, Anthropic, and others as an orchestration layer raises risks of commoditization. Watch for Q1 2026 revenue updates or next funding signals amid intensifying competition from Google Gemini and integrated AI assistants.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Volumen
$124,354Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus favors no Perplexity IPO before 2028 at 44.5% implied probability, reflecting the AI search engine's absence of public filing announcements or S-1 preparations amid booming private funding—most recently closing a $200 million round in September 2025 at a $20 billion valuation, up from $9 billion late 2024. Surging revenue to around $200 million annualized run rate by late 2025, driven by Pro and enterprise subscriptions, fuels optimism for high-cap outcomes like 50B–75B (29.8%) or 40B–50B (19.9%) if it goes public, though dependency on third-party large language models from OpenAI, Anthropic, and others as an orchestration layer raises risks of commoditization. Watch for Q1 2026 revenue updates or next funding signals amid intensifying competition from Google Gemini and integrated AI assistants.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$124,354Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors no Perplexity IPO before 2028 at 44.5% implied probability, reflecting the AI search engine's absence of public filing announcements or S-1 preparations amid booming private funding—most recently closing a $200 million round in September 2025 at a $20 billion valuation, up from $9 billion late 2024. Surging revenue to around $200 million annualized run rate by late 2025, driven by Pro and enterprise subscriptions, fuels optimism for high-cap outcomes like 50B–75B (29.8%) or 40B–50B (19.9%) if it goes public, though dependency on third-party large language models from OpenAI, Anthropic, and others as an orchestration layer raises risks of commoditization. Watch for Q1 2026 revenue updates or next funding signals amid intensifying competition from Google Gemini and integrated AI assistants.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes