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Política·Apagado Del Gobierno

Number of US Flights Delayed March 26?

Market icon
Política·Apagado Del Gobierno

Number of US Flights Delayed March 26?

Ended: Mar 26

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

Ended: Mar 26

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

>6,000 100.0%

<3,000 <1%

3,000-3,500 <1%

3,500-4,000 <1%

Polymarket

$12,297 Vol.

>6,000 100.0%

<3,000 <1%

3,000-3,500 <1%

3,500-4,000 <1%

Polymarket

$12,297 Vol.

<3,000

$1,800 Vol.

No

3,000-3,500

$1,049 Vol.

No

3,500-4,000

$1,399 Vol.

No

4,000-4,500

$2,980 Vol.

No

4,500-5,000

$1,776 Vol.

No

5,000-5,500

$945 Vol.

No

5,500-6,000

$879 Vol.

No

>6,000

$1,468 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 26, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices over 6,000 US flight delays on March 26 at 100%, driven by real-time FAA data showing the threshold already exceeded early in the day amid severe weather disruptions. Widespread thunderstorms and high winds across key hubs like Chicago O'Hare, Dallas-Fort Worth, and Atlanta triggered ground delay programs, impacting thousands of flights during peak spring break travel volume. FlightAware and DOT reports confirm over 5,000 delays by midday, with cancellations compounding the total. This commanding position reflects skin-in-the-game assessments of minimal recovery time remaining. Scenarios that could challenge it include rapid weather dissipation or post-day data revisions reclassifying delays, though FAA historical patterns make these improbable.

Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices over 6,000 US flight delays on March 26 at 100%, driven by real-time FAA data showing the threshold already exceeded early in the day amid severe weather disruptions. Widespread thunderstorms and high winds across key hubs like Chicago O'Hare, Dallas-Fort Worth, and Atlanta triggered ground delay programs, impacting thousands of flights during peak spring break travel volume. FlightAware and DOT reports confirm over 5,000 delays by midday, with cancellations compounding the total. This commanding position reflects skin-in-the-game assessments of minimal recovery time remaining. Scenarios that could challenge it include rapid weather dissipation or post-day data revisions reclassifying delays, though FAA historical patterns make these improbable.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 26, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices over 6,000 US flight delays on March 26 at 100%, driven by real-time FAA data showing the threshold already exceeded early in the day amid severe weather disruptions. Widespread thunderstorms and high winds across key hubs like Chicago O'Hare, Dallas-Fort Worth, and Atlanta triggered ground delay programs, impacting thousands of flights during peak spring break travel volume. FlightAware and DOT reports confirm over 5,000 delays by midday, with cancellations compounding the total. This commanding position reflects skin-in-the-game assessments of minimal recovery time remaining. Scenarios that could challenge it include rapid weather dissipation or post-day data revisions reclassifying delays, though FAA historical patterns make these improbable.

Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices over 6,000 US flight delays on March 26 at 100%, driven by real-time FAA data showing the threshold already exceeded early in the day amid severe weather disruptions. Widespread thunderstorms and high winds across key hubs like Chicago O'Hare, Dallas-Fort Worth, and Atlanta triggered ground delay programs, impacting thousands of flights during peak spring break travel volume. FlightAware and DOT reports confirm over 5,000 delays by midday, with cancellations compounding the total. This commanding position reflects skin-in-the-game assessments of minimal recovery time remaining. Scenarios that could challenge it include rapid weather dissipation or post-day data revisions reclassifying delays, though FAA historical patterns make these improbable.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Number of US Flights Delayed March 26?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es ">6,000" con 100%, seguido de "<3,000" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Number of US Flights Delayed March 26?" ha generado $12.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 25, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Number of US Flights Delayed March 26?", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Number of US Flights Delayed March 26?" es ">6,000" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "<3,000" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Number of US Flights Delayed March 26?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.