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Nunca pasa nada: Irán Strike Edition

Market icon

Nunca pasa nada: Irán Strike Edition

>99% chance
Polymarket

$34,871 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$34,871 Vol.

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and January 31, 2026, 11:59 ET: - Iran strike on US military - Iran Strike on Israel - Iran strike on Qatar Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date, this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEHIranStrike.pdf

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and January 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:

- Iran strike on US military
- Iran Strike on Israel
- Iran strike on Qatar

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date, this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEHIranStrike.pdf
Volumen
$34,871
Fecha de finalización
Jan 31, 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:18 PM ET
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and January 31, 2026, 11:59 ET: - Iran strike on US military - Iran Strike on Israel - Iran strike on Qatar Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date, this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEHIranStrike.pdf

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and January 31, 2026, 11:59 ET: - Iran strike on US military - Iran Strike on Israel - Iran strike on Qatar Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date, this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEHIranStrike.pdf

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and January 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:

- Iran strike on US military
- Iran Strike on Israel
- Iran strike on Qatar

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date, this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEHIranStrike.pdf
Volumen
$34,871
Fecha de finalización
Jan 31, 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:18 PM ET
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and January 31, 2026, 11:59 ET: - Iran strike on US military - Iran Strike on Israel - Iran strike on Qatar Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date, this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEHIranStrike.pdf

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Nunca pasa nada: Irán Strike Edition" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 100% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 100¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Nunca pasa nada: Irán Strike Edition" ha generado $34.9K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 19, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Nunca pasa nada: Irán Strike Edition", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Nunca pasa nada: Irán Strike Edition" es 100% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 100% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Nunca pasa nada: Irán Strike Edition" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.