Recent energy price surges tied to the Iran conflict have propelled April headline CPI to 3.8% year-over-year, the highest since mid-2023, with gasoline costs rising sharply and nowcasting models pointing to a further lift toward 4.2% for May. Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 4.2% and 4.3% outcomes, reflecting uncertainty over the persistence of the oil impulse versus potential moderation in shelter and goods components. Core measures have edged higher but remain less elevated, while upcoming June 10 data will clarify whether the second-quarter peak materializes near these levels amid ongoing tariff and labor-market influences.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado4.2% 44%
4.3% 40%
≥4.4% 12%
4.1% 6.0%
$348,264 Vol.
$348,264 Vol.
10 jun 2026
≤3,3%
<1%
3.4%
<1%
3.5%
1%
3.6%
<1%
3.7%
<1%
3.8%
<1%
3.9%
<1%
4.0%
1%
4.1%
6%
4.2%
44%
4.3%
40%
≥4.4%
12%
4.2% 44%
4.3% 40%
≥4.4% 12%
4.1% 6.0%
$348,264 Vol.
$348,264 Vol.
10 jun 2026
≤3,3%
$19,516 Vol.
<1%
3.4%
$17,416 Vol.
<1%
3.5%
$24,784 Vol.
1%
3.6%
$21,699 Vol.
<1%
3.7%
$22,790 Vol.
<1%
3.8%
$22,753 Vol.
<1%
3.9%
$29,200 Vol.
<1%
4.0%
$23,717 Vol.
1%
4.1%
$28,194 Vol.
6%
4.2%
$44,292 Vol.
44%
4.3%
$55,825 Vol.
40%
≥4.4%
$38,079 Vol.
12%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent energy price surges tied to the Iran conflict have propelled April headline CPI to 3.8% year-over-year, the highest since mid-2023, with gasoline costs rising sharply and nowcasting models pointing to a further lift toward 4.2% for May. Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 4.2% and 4.3% outcomes, reflecting uncertainty over the persistence of the oil impulse versus potential moderation in shelter and goods components. Core measures have edged higher but remain less elevated, while upcoming June 10 data will clarify whether the second-quarter peak materializes near these levels amid ongoing tariff and labor-market influences.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Volumen
$348,264Fecha de finalización
10 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent energy price surges tied to the Iran conflict have propelled April headline CPI to 3.8% year-over-year, the highest since mid-2023, with gasoline costs rising sharply and nowcasting models pointing to a further lift toward 4.2% for May. Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 4.2% and 4.3% outcomes, reflecting uncertainty over the persistence of the oil impulse versus potential moderation in shelter and goods components. Core measures have edged higher but remain less elevated, while upcoming June 10 data will clarify whether the second-quarter peak materializes near these levels amid ongoing tariff and labor-market influences.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$348,264Fecha de finalización
10 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent energy price surges tied to the Iran conflict have propelled April headline CPI to 3.8% year-over-year, the highest since mid-2023, with gasoline costs rising sharply and nowcasting models pointing to a further lift toward 4.2% for May. Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 4.2% and 4.3% outcomes, reflecting uncertainty over the persistence of the oil impulse versus potential moderation in shelter and goods components. Core measures have edged higher but remain less elevated, while upcoming June 10 data will clarify whether the second-quarter peak materializes near these levels amid ongoing tariff and labor-market influences.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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