Recent April 2026 CPI data, which accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year from 3.3% in March amid sharp energy price gains tied to geopolitical tensions, anchors trader positioning for the May annual rate. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place the May reading near 4.2%, while consensus forecasts cluster around 3.9–4.0%, reflecting expectations that the energy-driven uptick may persist into the June 10 release. With 4.2% holding 44.5% market-implied odds and 4.3% at 39.5%, the tight spread underscores uncertainty over whether shelter trends, goods prices, and any moderation in gasoline will cap the print or push it higher. The June FOMC meeting and subsequent labor data will provide further context for whether this trajectory signals sustained pressure or proves transitory.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado4.2% 45%
4.3% 40%
≥4.4% 12%
4.1% 5.7%
$350,694 Vol.
$350,694 Vol.
10 jun 2026
≤3,3%
<1%
3.4%
<1%
3.5%
<1%
3.6%
<1%
3.7%
<1%
3.8%
<1%
3.9%
<1%
4.0%
1%
4.1%
6%
4.2%
45%
4.3%
40%
≥4.4%
12%
4.2% 45%
4.3% 40%
≥4.4% 12%
4.1% 5.7%
$350,694 Vol.
$350,694 Vol.
10 jun 2026
≤3,3%
$19,516 Vol.
<1%
3.4%
$17,416 Vol.
<1%
3.5%
$24,784 Vol.
<1%
3.6%
$22,199 Vol.
<1%
3.7%
$22,790 Vol.
<1%
3.8%
$22,762 Vol.
<1%
3.9%
$29,209 Vol.
<1%
4.0%
$24,318 Vol.
1%
4.1%
$28,449 Vol.
6%
4.2%
$44,292 Vol.
45%
4.3%
$56,683 Vol.
40%
≥4.4%
$38,276 Vol.
12%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent April 2026 CPI data, which accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year from 3.3% in March amid sharp energy price gains tied to geopolitical tensions, anchors trader positioning for the May annual rate. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place the May reading near 4.2%, while consensus forecasts cluster around 3.9–4.0%, reflecting expectations that the energy-driven uptick may persist into the June 10 release. With 4.2% holding 44.5% market-implied odds and 4.3% at 39.5%, the tight spread underscores uncertainty over whether shelter trends, goods prices, and any moderation in gasoline will cap the print or push it higher. The June FOMC meeting and subsequent labor data will provide further context for whether this trajectory signals sustained pressure or proves transitory.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Volumen
$350,694Fecha de finalización
10 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent April 2026 CPI data, which accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year from 3.3% in March amid sharp energy price gains tied to geopolitical tensions, anchors trader positioning for the May annual rate. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place the May reading near 4.2%, while consensus forecasts cluster around 3.9–4.0%, reflecting expectations that the energy-driven uptick may persist into the June 10 release. With 4.2% holding 44.5% market-implied odds and 4.3% at 39.5%, the tight spread underscores uncertainty over whether shelter trends, goods prices, and any moderation in gasoline will cap the print or push it higher. The June FOMC meeting and subsequent labor data will provide further context for whether this trajectory signals sustained pressure or proves transitory.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$350,694Fecha de finalización
10 jun 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April 2026 CPI data, which accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year from 3.3% in March amid sharp energy price gains tied to geopolitical tensions, anchors trader positioning for the May annual rate. Cleveland Fed nowcasts place the May reading near 4.2%, while consensus forecasts cluster around 3.9–4.0%, reflecting expectations that the energy-driven uptick may persist into the June 10 release. With 4.2% holding 44.5% market-implied odds and 4.3% at 39.5%, the tight spread underscores uncertainty over whether shelter trends, goods prices, and any moderation in gasoline will cap the print or push it higher. The June FOMC meeting and subsequent labor data will provide further context for whether this trajectory signals sustained pressure or proves transitory.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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