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Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Massachusetts

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Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Massachusetts

$12,699 Vol.

Polymarket

$12,699 Vol.

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Demócrata

$4,372 Vol.

94%

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Republicano

$8,327 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts voters have favored Democrats for governor since Maura Healey's 2022 landslide win, flipping the seat from Republican Charlie Baker and solidifying party control in a state with a 3-to-1 Democratic registration edge. Recent Emerson College polling (early October) shows leading prospective Democratic candidates like Treasurer Diana DiZoglio or Attorney General Andrea Joy Campbell holding 20-30 point leads over potential Republicans, reflecting weak GOP field recruitment and historical base rates where Democrats win 60%+ in open races. No major developments in the past 30 days, including candidate filing deadlines still months away for the 2026 race resolving November 3. Upsets could stem from a star Republican entrant like Geoff Diehl redux, Healey-era scandals erupting, or national midterm backlash, though structural advantages make these low-probability.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$12,699
Fecha de finalización
Nov 3, 2026
Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts voters have favored Democrats for governor since Maura Healey's 2022 landslide win, flipping the seat from Republican Charlie Baker and solidifying party control in a state with a 3-to-1 Democratic registration edge. Recent Emerson College polling (early October) shows leading prospective Democratic candidates like Treasurer Diana DiZoglio or Attorney General Andrea Joy Campbell holding 20-30 point leads over potential Republicans, reflecting weak GOP field recruitment and historical base rates where Democrats win 60%+ in open races. No major developments in the past 30 days, including candidate filing deadlines still months away for the 2026 race resolving November 3. Upsets could stem from a star Republican entrant like Geoff Diehl redux, Healey-era scandals erupting, or national midterm backlash, though structural advantages make these low-probability.

Massachusetts voters have favored Democrats for governor since Maura Healey's 2022 landslide win, flipping the seat from Republican Charlie Baker and solidifying party control in a state with a 3-to-1 Democratic registration edge. Recent Emerson College polling (early October) shows leading prospective Democratic candidates like Treasurer Diana DiZoglio or Attorney General Andrea Joy Campbell holding 20-30 point leads over potential Republicans, reflecting weak GOP field recruitment and historical base rates where Democrats win 60%+ in open races. No major developments in the past 30 days, including candidate filing deadlines still months away for the 2026 race resolving November 3. Upsets could stem from a star Republican entrant like Geoff Diehl redux, Healey-era scandals erupting, or national midterm backlash, though structural advantages make these low-probability.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Massachusetts" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Demócrata" con 94%, seguido de "Republicano" con 6%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 94¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 94% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Massachusetts" ha generado $12.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Oct 13, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Massachusetts", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Massachusetts" es "Demócrata" con 94%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 94% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Republicano" con 6%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Massachusetts" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.