Reports from The Information indicate SpaceX is poised to file its IPO prospectus as early as this week, targeting a record $75 billion raise at a potential $1.5 trillion valuation, driving trader consensus to an 89.5% implied probability for it claiming the largest 2026 IPO by market cap. This momentum builds on February's all-stock merger with xAI—valuing the combined entity at $1.25 trillion—which integrates advanced AI capabilities into SpaceX's Starlink and space infrastructure ambitions, outpacing rivals. OpenAI and Anthropic trail at 4.1% and 3.8%, respectively, amid their own Q4 preparations but lower projected valuations; others like Stripe and Databricks show minimal traction absent fresh catalysts. Traders eye June-July debuts, though regulatory reviews or market conditions could introduce delays.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoSpaceX 90%
OpenAI 4.1%
Anthropic 3.8%
Discord <1%
$1,616,048 Vol.
$1,616,048 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
SpaceX
90%
OpenAI
4%
Anthropic
4%
Discord
1%
Stripe
1%
Waymo
1%
Kraken
<1%
Databricks
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Revolut
<1%
Perplexity AI
<1%
SHEIN
<1%
SpaceX 90%
OpenAI 4.1%
Anthropic 3.8%
Discord <1%
$1,616,048 Vol.
$1,616,048 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
SpaceX
$178,640 Vol.
90%
OpenAI
$294,871 Vol.
4%
Anthropic
$341,983 Vol.
4%
Discord
$67,324 Vol.
1%
Stripe
$37,223 Vol.
1%
Waymo
$43,847 Vol.
1%
Kraken
$371,925 Vol.
<1%
Databricks
$67,115 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$83,907 Vol.
<1%
Revolut
$24,616 Vol.
<1%
Perplexity AI
$52,905 Vol.
<1%
SHEIN
$51,692 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Reports from The Information indicate SpaceX is poised to file its IPO prospectus as early as this week, targeting a record $75 billion raise at a potential $1.5 trillion valuation, driving trader consensus to an 89.5% implied probability for it claiming the largest 2026 IPO by market cap. This momentum builds on February's all-stock merger with xAI—valuing the combined entity at $1.25 trillion—which integrates advanced AI capabilities into SpaceX's Starlink and space infrastructure ambitions, outpacing rivals. OpenAI and Anthropic trail at 4.1% and 3.8%, respectively, amid their own Q4 preparations but lower projected valuations; others like Stripe and Databricks show minimal traction absent fresh catalysts. Traders eye June-July debuts, though regulatory reviews or market conditions could introduce delays.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Volumen
$1,616,048Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Reports from The Information indicate SpaceX is poised to file its IPO prospectus as early as this week, targeting a record $75 billion raise at a potential $1.5 trillion valuation, driving trader consensus to an 89.5% implied probability for it claiming the largest 2026 IPO by market cap. This momentum builds on February's all-stock merger with xAI—valuing the combined entity at $1.25 trillion—which integrates advanced AI capabilities into SpaceX's Starlink and space infrastructure ambitions, outpacing rivals. OpenAI and Anthropic trail at 4.1% and 3.8%, respectively, amid their own Q4 preparations but lower projected valuations; others like Stripe and Databricks show minimal traction absent fresh catalysts. Traders eye June-July debuts, though regulatory reviews or market conditions could introduce delays.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$1,616,048Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Reports from The Information indicate SpaceX is poised to file its IPO prospectus as early as this week, targeting a record $75 billion raise at a potential $1.5 trillion valuation, driving trader consensus to an 89.5% implied probability for it claiming the largest 2026 IPO by market cap. This momentum builds on February's all-stock merger with xAI—valuing the combined entity at $1.25 trillion—which integrates advanced AI capabilities into SpaceX's Starlink and space infrastructure ambitions, outpacing rivals. OpenAI and Anthropic trail at 4.1% and 3.8%, respectively, amid their own Q4 preparations but lower projected valuations; others like Stripe and Databricks show minimal traction absent fresh catalysts. Traders eye June-July debuts, though regulatory reviews or market conditions could introduce delays.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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