Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high of 72-73°F in Houston on April 7, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts of post-cold front cooling after Easter weekend storms on April 4-5 bring northwest winds and a drier continental air mass, dropping highs from recent 80s°F readings. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show spread in the 70-75°F range, with 72-73°F leading due to consensus on partial cloud cover and light southerly return flow limiting afternoon heating, versus clearer skies potentially pushing 74-75°F. Key differentiators include front exit timing—faster progression favors warmer outcomes—and lingering moisture suppressing peaks at 70-71°F. New NWS updates and model runs through April 5 will refine these market-implied odds amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.