Market icon

¿Oro (GC) por encima de ___ a finales de marzo?

Market icon

¿Oro (GC) por encima de ___ a finales de marzo?

$163,579 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$163,579 Vol.

Polymarket

$7,000

$16,314 Vol.

<1%

$6,500

$5,812 Vol.

<1%

$6,000

$18,080 Vol.

<1%

$5,800

$30,820 Vol.

<1%

$5,600

$4,848 Vol.

<1%

$5,400

$43,994 Vol.

1%

$5,200

$4,403 Vol.

2%

$5,000

$10,442 Vol.

3%

$4,800

$11,835 Vol.

5%

$4,600

$6,537 Vol.

29%

$4,400

$2,148 Vol.

74%

$4,000

$8,345 Vol.

96%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Comex Gold (GC) April futures trade near $4,490 per ounce as of March 29, 2026, down roughly 15% over March, driven by a resurgent U.S. dollar (DXY at 100.19, up 0.3% daily) and rising 10-year Treasury yields (4.42%, highest since July 2025), which compress real yields and pressure non-yielding assets. Brief haven demand amid escalating U.S.-Iran tensions spiked prices above $4,500 earlier this week, but dollar strength and quarter-end rebalancing dominate trader sentiment with settlement looming on March 31. Structural supports like central bank purchases persist, yet upcoming PCE inflation release and Fed commentary could trigger final swings, with consensus forecasts eyeing $6,000+ by year-end.

Comex Gold (GC) April futures trade near $4,490 per ounce as of March 29, 2026, down roughly 15% over March, driven by a resurgent U.S. dollar (DXY at 100.19, up 0.3% daily) and rising 10-year Treasury yields (4.42%, highest since July 2025), which compress real yields and pressure non-yielding assets. Brief haven demand amid escalating U.S.-Iran tensions spiked prices above $4,500 earlier this week, but dollar strength and quarter-end rebalancing dominate trader sentiment with settlement looming on March 31. Structural supports like central bank purchases persist, yet upcoming PCE inflation release and Fed commentary could trigger final swings, with consensus forecasts eyeing $6,000+ by year-end.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Comex Gold (GC) April futures trade near $4,490 per ounce as of March 29, 2026, down roughly 15% over March, driven by a resurgent U.S. dollar (DXY at 100.19, up 0.3% daily) and rising 10-year Treasury yields (4.42%, highest since July 2025), which compress real yields and pressure non-yielding assets. Brief haven demand amid escalating U.S.-Iran tensions spiked prices above $4,500 earlier this week, but dollar strength and quarter-end rebalancing dominate trader sentiment with settlement looming on March 31. Structural supports like central bank purchases persist, yet upcoming PCE inflation release and Fed commentary could trigger final swings, with consensus forecasts eyeing $6,000+ by year-end.

Comex Gold (GC) April futures trade near $4,490 per ounce as of March 29, 2026, down roughly 15% over March, driven by a resurgent U.S. dollar (DXY at 100.19, up 0.3% daily) and rising 10-year Treasury yields (4.42%, highest since July 2025), which compress real yields and pressure non-yielding assets. Brief haven demand amid escalating U.S.-Iran tensions spiked prices above $4,500 earlier this week, but dollar strength and quarter-end rebalancing dominate trader sentiment with settlement looming on March 31. Structural supports like central bank purchases persist, yet upcoming PCE inflation release and Fed commentary could trigger final swings, with consensus forecasts eyeing $6,000+ by year-end.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Oro (GC) por encima de ___ a finales de marzo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 12 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "$4,000" con 96%, seguido de "$4,400" con 74%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 96¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 96% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Oro (GC) por encima de ___ a finales de marzo?" ha generado $163.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 3, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Oro (GC) por encima de ___ a finales de marzo?", explora los 12 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Oro (GC) por encima de ___ a finales de marzo?" es "$4,000" con 96%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 96% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "$4,400" con 74%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Oro (GC) por encima de ___ a finales de marzo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.