Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a bullish tilt for Gold (GC) June settlement, with tightly contested implied probabilities of 17.1% for $5,000-$5,400 and 17.0% for $4,600-$5,000, signaling debate over peak rally heights amid sticky inflation and anticipated Fed rate cuts. Recent spot gold surges past $2,700—driven by central bank purchases, geopolitical risks in the Middle East, and a softening U.S. dollar—have fueled this optimism, far outpacing conservative COMEX futures at around $2,800 for June 2025. Differentiating factors include May CPI data and the June FOMC meeting; hotter prints could propel odds toward $5,400+, while softer signals cap at sub-$5,000, underscoring gold's sensitivity to real yield dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿En qué se liquidará el oro (GC) en junio?
¿En qué se liquidará el oro (GC) en junio?
$5,000-$5,400 17.0%
$4,600-$5,000 17%
$5,400-$5,800 15%
$4,200-$4,600 13.4%
$363,706 Vol.
$363,706 Vol.
<$3,800
6%
$3,800-$4,200
5%
$4,200-$4,600
13%
$4,600-$5,000
17%
$5,000-$5,400
17%
$5,400-$5,800
15%
$5,800-$6,200
13%
>$6,200
13%
$5,000-$5,400 17.0%
$4,600-$5,000 17%
$5,400-$5,800 15%
$4,200-$4,600 13.4%
$363,706 Vol.
$363,706 Vol.
<$3,800
6%
$3,800-$4,200
5%
$4,200-$4,600
13%
$4,600-$5,000
17%
$5,000-$5,400
17%
$5,400-$5,800
15%
$5,800-$6,200
13%
>$6,200
13%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercado abierto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a bullish tilt for Gold (GC) June settlement, with tightly contested implied probabilities of 17.1% for $5,000-$5,400 and 17.0% for $4,600-$5,000, signaling debate over peak rally heights amid sticky inflation and anticipated Fed rate cuts. Recent spot gold surges past $2,700—driven by central bank purchases, geopolitical risks in the Middle East, and a softening U.S. dollar—have fueled this optimism, far outpacing conservative COMEX futures at around $2,800 for June 2025. Differentiating factors include May CPI data and the June FOMC meeting; hotter prints could propel odds toward $5,400+, while softer signals cap at sub-$5,000, underscoring gold's sensitivity to real yield dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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