Traders on Polymarket are closely split between gold settling in the $4,200-$4,600 (20.8%) and $4,600-$5,000 (18.0%) ranges by June end, reflecting bullish sentiment driven by persistent inflation pressures and aggressive Fed rate cut pricing. Recent U.S. CPI data showing core inflation above 3% has boosted safe-haven demand, with spot gold holding above $2,650 amid central bank purchases exceeding 1,000 tonnes YTD. June GC futures trade around $2,800 in mild contango, but Polymarket's market-implied odds skew far higher, implying trader consensus for a sustained rally fueled by USD weakness and geopolitical risks. Key differentiators include November's NFP report and December FOMC, where yields below 4% could propel prices past $5,000, though a hawkish pivot risks pullback below $4,200—highlighting the uncertainty in real yield dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿En qué se liquidará el oro (GC) en junio?
¿En qué se liquidará el oro (GC) en junio?
$4,200-$4,600 20.8%
$4,600-$5,000 18%
$3,800-$4,200 14.7%
$5,000-$5,400 14.5%
$369,039 Vol.
$369,039 Vol.
<$3,800
8%
$3,800-$4,200
15%
$4,200-$4,600
21%
$4,600-$5,000
18%
$5,000-$5,400
14%
$5,400-$5,800
10%
$5,800-$6,200
9%
>$6,200
8%
$4,200-$4,600 20.8%
$4,600-$5,000 18%
$3,800-$4,200 14.7%
$5,000-$5,400 14.5%
$369,039 Vol.
$369,039 Vol.
<$3,800
8%
$3,800-$4,200
15%
$4,200-$4,600
21%
$4,600-$5,000
18%
$5,000-$5,400
14%
$5,400-$5,800
10%
$5,800-$6,200
9%
>$6,200
8%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercado abierto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders on Polymarket are closely split between gold settling in the $4,200-$4,600 (20.8%) and $4,600-$5,000 (18.0%) ranges by June end, reflecting bullish sentiment driven by persistent inflation pressures and aggressive Fed rate cut pricing. Recent U.S. CPI data showing core inflation above 3% has boosted safe-haven demand, with spot gold holding above $2,650 amid central bank purchases exceeding 1,000 tonnes YTD. June GC futures trade around $2,800 in mild contango, but Polymarket's market-implied odds skew far higher, implying trader consensus for a sustained rally fueled by USD weakness and geopolitical risks. Key differentiators include November's NFP report and December FOMC, where yields below 4% could propel prices past $5,000, though a hawkish pivot risks pullback below $4,200—highlighting the uncertainty in real yield dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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