Persistent expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts amid cooling inflation have driven gold futures (GC) to near-record highs around $2,325/oz, with Polymarket trader consensus implying roughly 55% odds of closing above $2,350 by June 30 as real yields dip below 2% and the USD Index weakens to 104. Central bank purchases exceeding 1,000 tonnes annually bolster demand, while Middle East tensions sustain safe-haven flows. Key catalysts include tomorrow's FOMC meeting and dot plot—potentially signaling one or two 2024 cuts—plus Thursday's PPI data; a dovish tilt could push implied probabilities higher, though hot inflation risks capping upside near $2,400 resistance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Qué alcanzará el oro (GC) __ a finales de junio?
¿Qué alcanzará el oro (GC) __ a finales de junio?
$2,128,308 Vol.
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $8,500
3%
↑ $9,000
3%
↑ $8,000
3%
↑ $7,000
4%
↑ $6,500
6%
↑ $6,200
7%
↑ $6,000
14%
↑ $5,700
21%
↑ $5,500
28%
↓ $4,200
60%
↓ $3,800
16%
↓ $3,400
11%
$2,128,308 Vol.
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $8,500
3%
↑ $9,000
3%
↑ $8,000
3%
↑ $7,000
4%
↑ $6,500
6%
↑ $6,200
7%
↑ $6,000
14%
↑ $5,700
21%
↑ $5,500
28%
↓ $4,200
60%
↓ $3,800
16%
↓ $3,400
11%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercado abierto: Jan 26, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts amid cooling inflation have driven gold futures (GC) to near-record highs around $2,325/oz, with Polymarket trader consensus implying roughly 55% odds of closing above $2,350 by June 30 as real yields dip below 2% and the USD Index weakens to 104. Central bank purchases exceeding 1,000 tonnes annually bolster demand, while Middle East tensions sustain safe-haven flows. Key catalysts include tomorrow's FOMC meeting and dot plot—potentially signaling one or two 2024 cuts—plus Thursday's PPI data; a dovish tilt could push implied probabilities higher, though hot inflation risks capping upside near $2,400 resistance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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