Expectations for the Federal Reserve's June 11-12 FOMC meeting dominate trader sentiment on gold futures (GC), with Polymarket odds reflecting a 65% implied probability of prices holding above $2,300/oz by month-end amid dovish rate cut signals. Spot gold traded at $2,345/oz as of June 5 (COMEX settle), down from May's $2,449 all-time high, pressured by rising 10-year Treasury yields to 4.45% and a rebounding DXY at 104.5. Key catalysts include tomorrow's nonfarm payrolls (consensus: +185k jobs) and CPI release June 12; softer data could weaken the dollar further, boosting gold's safe-haven appeal alongside sustained central bank buying (1,200t YTD). Historical precedent shows June often sees 2-3% volatility around Fed events.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Qué alcanzará el oro (GC) __ a finales de junio?
¿Qué alcanzará el oro (GC) __ a finales de junio?
$2,079,733 Vol.
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $8,500
3%
↑ $9,000
3%
↑ $8,000
3%
↑ $7,000
5%
↑ $6,500
9%
↑ $6,200
10%
↑ $6,000
12%
↑ $5,700
24%
↑ $5,500
28%
↓ $4,200
61%
↓ $3,800
17%
↓ $3,400
7%
$2,079,733 Vol.
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $8,500
3%
↑ $9,000
3%
↑ $8,000
3%
↑ $7,000
5%
↑ $6,500
9%
↑ $6,200
10%
↑ $6,000
12%
↑ $5,700
24%
↑ $5,500
28%
↓ $4,200
61%
↓ $3,800
17%
↓ $3,400
7%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercado abierto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
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0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: Sí
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Resultado final: Sí
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0x65070BE91...Expectations for the Federal Reserve's June 11-12 FOMC meeting dominate trader sentiment on gold futures (GC), with Polymarket odds reflecting a 65% implied probability of prices holding above $2,300/oz by month-end amid dovish rate cut signals. Spot gold traded at $2,345/oz as of June 5 (COMEX settle), down from May's $2,449 all-time high, pressured by rising 10-year Treasury yields to 4.45% and a rebounding DXY at 104.5. Key catalysts include tomorrow's nonfarm payrolls (consensus: +185k jobs) and CPI release June 12; softer data could weaken the dollar further, boosting gold's safe-haven appeal alongside sustained central bank buying (1,200t YTD). Historical precedent shows June often sees 2-3% volatility around Fed events.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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