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GA-09 Republican Primary Winner

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Política·Casa Principal

GA-09 Republican Primary Winner

Andrew Clyde 90%

Sam Couvillon 16%

Gregg Poole 3%

Polymarket
NEW

Andrew Clyde 90%

Sam Couvillon 16%

Gregg Poole 3%

Polymarket
NEW

Andrew Clyde

$0 Vol.

87%

Sam Couvillon

$0 Vol.

16%

Gregg Poole

$4,140 Vol.

22%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Andrew Clyde commands 91.5% trader consensus in the GA-09 Republican primary due to his strong incumbency advantage, superior fundraising, and dominant polling leads in this deep-red district ahead of the May 21 vote. Recent internal polls and public surveys show Clyde at 50-70% support, far ahead of challenger Sam Couvillon (7%) and Gregg Poole (6.5%), reflecting historical patterns where congressional incumbents win primaries over 90% of the time absent scandals. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted momentum, with challengers struggling on name recognition and resources. Scenarios to challenge this include a late-breaking scandal, unexpectedly high challenger turnout, or an endorsement surge for a rival, though such upsets remain rare in safe seats.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$4,140
Fecha de finalización
May 19, 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 20, 2026, 2:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Andrew Clyde commands 91.5% trader consensus in the GA-09 Republican primary due to his strong incumbency advantage, superior fundraising, and dominant polling leads in this deep-red district ahead of the May 21 vote. Recent internal polls and public surveys show Clyde at 50-70% support, far ahead of challenger Sam Couvillon (7%) and Gregg Poole (6.5%), reflecting historical patterns where congressional incumbents win primaries over 90% of the time absent scandals. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted momentum, with challengers struggling on name recognition and resources. Scenarios to challenge this include a late-breaking scandal, unexpectedly high challenger turnout, or an endorsement surge for a rival, though such upsets remain rare in safe seats.

Incumbent Rep. Andrew Clyde commands 91.5% trader consensus in the GA-09 Republican primary due to his strong incumbency advantage, superior fundraising, and dominant polling leads in this deep-red district ahead of the May 21 vote. Recent internal polls and public surveys show Clyde at 50-70% support, far ahead of challenger Sam Couvillon (7%) and Gregg Poole (6.5%), reflecting historical patterns where congressional incumbents win primaries over 90% of the time absent scandals. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted momentum, with challengers struggling on name recognition and resources. Scenarios to challenge this include a late-breaking scandal, unexpectedly high challenger turnout, or an endorsement surge for a rival, though such upsets remain rare in safe seats.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"GA-09 Republican Primary Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Andrew Clyde" con 87%, seguido de "Gregg Poole" con 23%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 87¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 87% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"GA-09 Republican Primary Winner" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 20, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "GA-09 Republican Primary Winner", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "GA-09 Republican Primary Winner" es "Andrew Clyde" con 87%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 87% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Gregg Poole" con 23%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "GA-09 Republican Primary Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.