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Conservative Party % of vote in Canada Election?

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Conservative Party % of vote in Canada Election?

41–44% 100.0%

<32% <1%

32–35% <1%

35–38% <1%

Polymarket

$160,773 Vol.

41–44% 100.0%

<32% <1%

32–35% <1%

35–38% <1%

Polymarket

$160,773 Vol.

<32%

$31,174 Vol.

No

32–35%

$16,443 Vol.

No

35–38%

$9,051 Vol.

No

38–41%

$70,322 Vol.

No

41–44%

$10,631 Vol.

Yes

44–47%

$9,193 Vol.

No

47%+

$13,958 Vol.

No

The 2025 Canadian federal election will be held on April 28 to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament.

This market will resolve to according to the popular vote share won by the Conservative Party.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve based off the official vote count published by the Government of Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Volumen
$160,773
Fecha de finalización
Jun 30, 2025
Mercado abierto
Apr 22, 2025, 4:24 PM ET
The 2025 Canadian federal election will be held on April 28 to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve to according to the popular vote share won by the Conservative Party. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based off the official vote count published by the Government of Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Conservative Party % of vote in Canada Election?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "41–44%" at 100%, followed by "<32%" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Conservative Party % of vote in Canada Election?" has generated $160.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 22, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Conservative Party % of vote in Canada Election?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Conservative Party % of vote in Canada Election?" is "41–44%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<32%" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Conservative Party % of vote in Canada Election?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.