Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the odds of WTI Crude Oil (CL) surpassing the $85 threshold by June 30 at around 25%, reflecting bearish sentiment amid softening global demand signals from China and building US inventories reported by EIA last week, which showed a surprise 4.2 million barrel build. Current front-month CL futures trade near $79.50, down 5% month-to-date, pressured by ample non-OPEC supply growth forecasts from IEA and delayed Fed rate cuts curbing economic optimism. Key catalysts ahead include tomorrow's OPEC+ meeting on production quotas, Thursday's EIA data, and June 12 FOMC decision; a hawkish Fed or inventory surplus could cap upside, while Middle East escalation might spike risk premiums toward resolution levels.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿El petróleo crudo (CL) llegará a__ a finales de junio?
¿El petróleo crudo (CL) llegará a__ a finales de junio?
$2,227,570 Vol.
↑ $200
12%
↑ $175
15%
↑ $150
21%
↑ $140
25%
↑ $130
34%
↑ $120
42%
↑ $115
49%
↑ $110
48%
↑ $105
63%
↑ $100
66%
↓ $85
80%
↓ $80
69%
↓ $70
48%
↓ $60
24%
↓ $55
20%
↓ $52
14%
↓ $50
10%
↓ $47
6%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $35
2%
$2,227,570 Vol.
↑ $200
12%
↑ $175
15%
↑ $150
21%
↑ $140
25%
↑ $130
34%
↑ $120
42%
↑ $115
49%
↑ $110
48%
↑ $105
63%
↑ $100
66%
↓ $85
80%
↓ $80
69%
↓ $70
48%
↓ $60
24%
↓ $55
20%
↓ $52
14%
↓ $50
10%
↓ $47
6%
↓ $45
3%
↓ $40
3%
↓ $35
2%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Mercado abierto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the odds of WTI Crude Oil (CL) surpassing the $85 threshold by June 30 at around 25%, reflecting bearish sentiment amid softening global demand signals from China and building US inventories reported by EIA last week, which showed a surprise 4.2 million barrel build. Current front-month CL futures trade near $79.50, down 5% month-to-date, pressured by ample non-OPEC supply growth forecasts from IEA and delayed Fed rate cuts curbing economic optimism. Key catalysts ahead include tomorrow's OPEC+ meeting on production quotas, Thursday's EIA data, and June 12 FOMC decision; a hawkish Fed or inventory surplus could cap upside, while Middle East escalation might spike risk premiums toward resolution levels.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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