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Canada Election: # of Seats Margin of Victory?

Market icon

Canada Election: # of Seats Margin of Victory?

Liberals 25–49 100.0%

Liberals 150+ <1%

Liberals 125–149 <1%

Liberals 100–124 <1%

Polymarket

$5,340,681 Vol.

Liberals 25–49 100.0%

Liberals 150+ <1%

Liberals 125–149 <1%

Liberals 100–124 <1%

Polymarket

$5,340,681 Vol.

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Liberals 150+

$235,845 Vol.

No

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Liberals 125–149

$60,075 Vol.

No

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Liberals 100–124

$57,957 Vol.

No

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Liberals 75–99

$28,361 Vol.

No

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Liberals 50–74

$152,529 Vol.

No

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Liberals 25–49

$103,117 Vol.

Yes

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Liberals 1–24

$90,576 Vol.

No

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Conservatives 0–24 (Tie)

$83,559 Vol.

No

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Conservatives 25–49

$94,288 Vol.

No

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Conservatives 50+

$123,620 Vol.

No

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Other

$4,310,752 Vol.

No

The 2025 Canadian federal election will be held on April 28 to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament.

This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats controlled in the House of Commons between the first and second place parties as a result of the next Canadian general election (e.g. Liberals control 190, Conservatives control 100, difference = 90).

If neither the Conservative nor Liberal party win the most seats, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
Volumen
$5,340,681
Fecha de finalización
Apr 28, 2025
Mercado abierto
Apr 11, 2025, 3:38 PM ET
The 2025 Canadian federal election will be held on April 28 to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament. This market will resolve according to the difference in the number of seats controlled in the House of Commons between the first and second place parties as a result of the next Canadian general election (e.g. Liberals control 190, Conservatives control 100, difference = 90). If neither the Conservative nor Liberal party win the most seats, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Canada Election: # of Seats Margin of Victory?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Liberals 25–49" at 100%, followed by "Liberals 150+" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Canada Election: # of Seats Margin of Victory?" has generated $5.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Canada Election: # of Seats Margin of Victory?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Canada Election: # of Seats Margin of Victory?" is "Liberals 25–49" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Liberals 150+" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Canada Election: # of Seats Margin of Victory?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.