Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Clayton Johnson a 29.2% implied probability as frontrunner for The Bachelorette Season 22 winner, outpacing Shane Parton (17.4%) and Doug Mason (7.8%) in a fragmented field underscoring profound uncertainty after ABC canceled Taylor Frankie Paul's season days before its March 22 premiere amid resurfaced domestic violence allegations and video evidence. Clayton's edge stems from massive preseason buzz as Lana Del Rey's ex-fiancé, fueling early fan favoritism and media spotlight upon cast reveal, while leaked Reality Steve spoilers—naming Doug as the final pick over Shane after a Lew Evans and Casey Hux top four—have yet to sway capital-heavy traders skeptical of post-filming splits and unaired footage. Absent a public finale by November 30, the market risks resolving to "Other," amplifying volatility tied to potential ABC statements or fresh leaks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de la temporada 22 de Bachelorette
Ganador de la temporada 22 de Bachelorette
Doug Mason 7.8%
Matt Carroll 7.0%
Casey Hux 1.0%
Richard Van De Water 1.0%
$134,925 Vol.
$134,925 Vol.
Doug Mason
8%
Matt Carroll
7%
Casey Hux
1%
Richard Van De Water
1%
Michael Baba
1%
Ronn Perez
1%
Shane Parton
17%
Marcus Richardson
1%
Josh Harward
1%
Malik Evans
1%
Rod Strozier
1%
Conrad Ukropina
1%
Aaron Kahng
1%
Johnnie LaRossa
1%
Brandon Perce
1%
Kevin Montero
<1%
Christopher Wood
<1%
Trenten Merrill
<1%
Brad Ledford
<1%
Mike Turitto
<1%
Lew Evans
<1%
Clayton Johnson
29%
Doug Mason 7.8%
Matt Carroll 7.0%
Casey Hux 1.0%
Richard Van De Water 1.0%
$134,925 Vol.
$134,925 Vol.
Doug Mason
8%
Matt Carroll
7%
Casey Hux
1%
Richard Van De Water
1%
Michael Baba
1%
Ronn Perez
1%
Shane Parton
17%
Marcus Richardson
1%
Josh Harward
1%
Malik Evans
1%
Rod Strozier
1%
Conrad Ukropina
1%
Aaron Kahng
1%
Johnnie LaRossa
1%
Brandon Perce
1%
Kevin Montero
<1%
Christopher Wood
<1%
Trenten Merrill
<1%
Brad Ledford
<1%
Mike Turitto
<1%
Lew Evans
<1%
Clayton Johnson
29%
The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.
If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Mercado abierto: Feb 24, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.
If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Clayton Johnson a 29.2% implied probability as frontrunner for The Bachelorette Season 22 winner, outpacing Shane Parton (17.4%) and Doug Mason (7.8%) in a fragmented field underscoring profound uncertainty after ABC canceled Taylor Frankie Paul's season days before its March 22 premiere amid resurfaced domestic violence allegations and video evidence. Clayton's edge stems from massive preseason buzz as Lana Del Rey's ex-fiancé, fueling early fan favoritism and media spotlight upon cast reveal, while leaked Reality Steve spoilers—naming Doug as the final pick over Shane after a Lew Evans and Casey Hux top four—have yet to sway capital-heavy traders skeptical of post-filming splits and unaired footage. Absent a public finale by November 30, the market risks resolving to "Other," amplifying volatility tied to potential ABC statements or fresh leaks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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