Alabama's gubernatorial election on November 3 remains a Republican stronghold, with traders pricing a GOP win at 94.3% due to unbroken party control of the governorship since 1999 and strong 2024 presidential margins exceeding 25 points. Sen. Tommy Tuberville dominates the May 19 Republican primary at 63% in the latest available polling, backed by Donald Trump endorsements, robust fundraising ($8.3 million cash-on-hand), and resolution of a residency challenge in February. Facing a fragmented Democratic field led by former Sen. Doug Jones, early general matchup polls show Tuberville up 53%-34%. Upsets could arise from a primary shock, nominee scandal, health issues, or national Democratic wave boosting turnout.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al gobernador de Alabama
Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Alabama

Republicano
94%

Demócrata
7%

Republicano
94%

Demócrata
7%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's gubernatorial election on November 3 remains a Republican stronghold, with traders pricing a GOP win at 94.3% due to unbroken party control of the governorship since 1999 and strong 2024 presidential margins exceeding 25 points. Sen. Tommy Tuberville dominates the May 19 Republican primary at 63% in the latest available polling, backed by Donald Trump endorsements, robust fundraising ($8.3 million cash-on-hand), and resolution of a residency challenge in February. Facing a fragmented Democratic field led by former Sen. Doug Jones, early general matchup polls show Tuberville up 53%-34%. Upsets could arise from a primary shock, nominee scandal, health issues, or national Democratic wave boosting turnout.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes