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50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?

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50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?

23% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
23% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.Traders' strong consensus favoring "No" at 77.5% implied probability stems from MrBeast's mid-March video "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat" pulling just 36 million first-24-hour YouTube views—well below his historical peaks near 46 million and far short of the 50 million threshold never cleared by a non-music video. Recent releases have shown cooling momentum amid mixed feedback on concepts and execution, with MrBeast himself apologizing in late 2025 for subpar quality. Hype around the April 4 drop—"50 Streamers Compete for $1,000,000"—spans multiple fanbases via Instagram and X teasers, potentially boosting views, but skepticism dominates given the streak and YouTube's volatile algorithm. Further uploads possible by April 30 keep upside alive, though traders price in realistic barriers to record territory.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,325
Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 30, 2026, 6:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.Traders' strong consensus favoring "No" at 77.5% implied probability stems from MrBeast's mid-March video "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat" pulling just 36 million first-24-hour YouTube views—well below his historical peaks near 46 million and far short of the 50 million threshold never cleared by a non-music video. Recent releases have shown cooling momentum amid mixed feedback on concepts and execution, with MrBeast himself apologizing in late 2025 for subpar quality. Hype around the April 4 drop—"50 Streamers Compete for $1,000,000"—spans multiple fanbases via Instagram and X teasers, potentially boosting views, but skepticism dominates given the streak and YouTube's volatile algorithm. Further uploads possible by April 30 keep upside alive, though traders price in realistic barriers to record territory.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,327
Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 30, 2026, 6:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 23% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 23¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 23% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 30, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?" es 23% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 23% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.