Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Apple at 72.5% implied probability to remain the second-largest company by market capitalization behind Nvidia ($4.31 trillion) as of April 30, reflecting its current $3.76 trillion valuation—a $199 billion lead over Alphabet ($3.56 trillion) and substantial gap to Microsoft ($2.78 trillion). This positioning stems from Q1 2026's tech sector pullback, where Apple declined 7% year-to-date versus sharper drops in Microsoft (23%) and broader Magnificent Seven peers amid geopolitical tensions and AI hype cooling. Alphabet's 21% odds capture potential for relative outperformance via ad revenue strength, while low probabilities for Nvidia (2.8%) or others highlight entrenched hierarchy barring major catalysts like Apple's late-April earnings or volatility spikes in Treasury yields.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoApple 73%
Alphabet 21%
NVIDIA 2.8%
Microsoft <1%
$1,039,054 Vol.
$1,039,054 Vol.
Apple
73%
Alphabet
21%
NVIDIA
3%
Microsoft
1%
Amazon
<1%
Tesla
<1%
Saudi Aramco
<1%
Apple 73%
Alphabet 21%
NVIDIA 2.8%
Microsoft <1%
$1,039,054 Vol.
$1,039,054 Vol.
Apple
73%
Alphabet
21%
NVIDIA
3%
Microsoft
1%
Amazon
<1%
Tesla
<1%
Saudi Aramco
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Apple at 72.5% implied probability to remain the second-largest company by market capitalization behind Nvidia ($4.31 trillion) as of April 30, reflecting its current $3.76 trillion valuation—a $199 billion lead over Alphabet ($3.56 trillion) and substantial gap to Microsoft ($2.78 trillion). This positioning stems from Q1 2026's tech sector pullback, where Apple declined 7% year-to-date versus sharper drops in Microsoft (23%) and broader Magnificent Seven peers amid geopolitical tensions and AI hype cooling. Alphabet's 21% odds capture potential for relative outperformance via ad revenue strength, while low probabilities for Nvidia (2.8%) or others highlight entrenched hierarchy barring major catalysts like Apple's late-April earnings or volatility spikes in Treasury yields.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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