Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Market icon

Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$398,934 Vol.

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Yahya Sinwar remains leader of Hamas in the Gaza Strip uninterrupted from August 25 through October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$398,934
Enddatum
Oct 31, 2024
Erstellt am
Aug 26, 2024, 12:42 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Yahya Sinwar remains leader of Hamas in the Gaza Strip uninterrupted from August 25 through October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Market icon

Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$398,934 Vol.

Über

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Yahya Sinwar remains leader of Hamas in the Gaza Strip uninterrupted from August 25 through October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$398,934
Enddatum
Oct 31, 2024
Erstellt am
Aug 26, 2024, 12:42 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Yahya Sinwar remains leader of Hamas in the Gaza Strip uninterrupted from August 25 through October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

Vorsicht bei externen Links.