2 59%
3 32%
4 8.9%
≥5 2.5%
$50,469 Vol.
$50,469 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
2
$8,290 Vol.
59%
2
$8,290 Vol.
59%
3
$9,104 Vol.
32%
3
$9,104 Vol.
32%
4
$4,367 Vol.
9%
4
$4,367 Vol.
9%
≥5
$6,092 Vol.
3%
≥5
$6,092 Vol.
3%
Regeln
This market will resolve according to the total number of different sovereign UN member states' soil that the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between February 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will not qualify, regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. Markets may resolve to "No" as soon as strikes on more than the specified amount of different sovereign UN member states' soil have been confirmed.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country where the embassy or consulate is located, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by the US at the time of market creation will not be counted toward this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the total number of different sovereign UN member states' soil that the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between February 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will not qualify, regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. Markets may resolve to "No" as soon as strikes on more than the specified amount of different sovereign UN member states' soil have been confirmed.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country where the embassy or consulate is located, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by the US at the time of market creation will not be counted toward this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will not qualify, regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. Markets may resolve to "No" as soon as strikes on more than the specified amount of different sovereign UN member states' soil have been confirmed.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country where the embassy or consulate is located, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by the US at the time of market creation will not be counted toward this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Erstellt am: Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
Volumen
$50,469Enddatum
Feb 28, 2026Erstellt am
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...3
2 59%
3 32%
4 8.9%
≥5 2.5%
$50,469 Vol.
$50,469 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
2
$8,290 Vol.
59%
3
$9,104 Vol.
32%
4
$4,367 Vol.
9%
≥5
$6,092 Vol.
3%
Über
Volumen
$50,469Enddatum
Feb 28, 2026Erstellt am
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.