Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around a Trump Silver Bulletin approval rating of 39-40% on April 10, reflecting recent polls averaging near 39.5% as of April 4, down from prior highs due to the ongoing Iran war and economic headwinds. Escalating U.S. strikes, a downed fighter jet, and President Trump's April 3 address claiming the conflict is wrapping up have failed to boost sentiment, while gas prices topping $4 per gallon nationwide—linked to the war and rising mortgage rates—have driven economy approval to a new low of 31% in CNN polling. Mixed recent surveys, from CNN's 38% to Rasmussen's 46%, keep bins competitive; de-escalation in Iran or favorable jobs data before April 10 could lift odds above 40%, while prolonged fighting risks a sub-39% slide.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert39.0–39.4 32%
39.5–39.9 32%
38.5–38.9 15%
40.0–40.4 12%
NEU
NEU
11. Apr. 2026
<38.5
11%
38.5–38.9
15%
39.0–39.4
32%
39.5–39.9
32%
40.0–40.4
12%
40.5+
3%
39.0–39.4 32%
39.5–39.9 32%
38.5–38.9 15%
40.0–40.4 12%
NEU
NEU
11. Apr. 2026
<38.5
$587 Vol.
11%
38.5–38.9
$262 Vol.
15%
39.0–39.4
$207 Vol.
32%
39.5–39.9
$280 Vol.
32%
40.0–40.4
$200 Vol.
12%
40.5+
$914 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 10, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around a Trump Silver Bulletin approval rating of 39-40% on April 10, reflecting recent polls averaging near 39.5% as of April 4, down from prior highs due to the ongoing Iran war and economic headwinds. Escalating U.S. strikes, a downed fighter jet, and President Trump's April 3 address claiming the conflict is wrapping up have failed to boost sentiment, while gas prices topping $4 per gallon nationwide—linked to the war and rising mortgage rates—have driven economy approval to a new low of 31% in CNN polling. Mixed recent surveys, from CNN's 38% to Rasmussen's 46%, keep bins competitive; de-escalation in Iran or favorable jobs data before April 10 could lift odds above 40%, while prolonged fighting risks a sub-39% slide.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 10, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 3, 2026, 12:26 PM ET
Volumen
$2,449Enddatum
11. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 3, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 10, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around a Trump Silver Bulletin approval rating of 39-40% on April 10, reflecting recent polls averaging near 39.5% as of April 4, down from prior highs due to the ongoing Iran war and economic headwinds. Escalating U.S. strikes, a downed fighter jet, and President Trump's April 3 address claiming the conflict is wrapping up have failed to boost sentiment, while gas prices topping $4 per gallon nationwide—linked to the war and rising mortgage rates—have driven economy approval to a new low of 31% in CNN polling. Mixed recent surveys, from CNN's 38% to Rasmussen's 46%, keep bins competitive; de-escalation in Iran or favorable jobs data before April 10 could lift odds above 40%, while prolonged fighting risks a sub-39% slide.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 10, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$2,449Enddatum
11. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 3, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around a Trump Silver Bulletin approval rating of 39-40% on April 10, reflecting recent polls averaging near 39.5% as of April 4, down from prior highs due to the ongoing Iran war and economic headwinds. Escalating U.S. strikes, a downed fighter jet, and President Trump's April 3 address claiming the conflict is wrapping up have failed to boost sentiment, while gas prices topping $4 per gallon nationwide—linked to the war and rising mortgage rates—have driven economy approval to a new low of 31% in CNN polling. Mixed recent surveys, from CNN's 38% to Rasmussen's 46%, keep bins competitive; de-escalation in Iran or favorable jobs data before April 10 could lift odds above 40%, while prolonged fighting risks a sub-39% slide.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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