Skip to main content
Market icon
Politik·Handelskrieg

Will Trump 10% China tariff increase go into effect by Friday?

Market icon
Politik·Handelskrieg

Will Trump 10% China tariff increase go into effect by Friday?

>99% Chance
Polymarket

$29,064 Vol.

>99% Chance
Polymarket

$29,064 Vol.

On February 27, President Donald Trump said he would impose an additional 10% tariff on goods imported from China, effective March 4, 2025 (see: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/02/27/trump-says-mexico-canada-tariffs-will-start-march-4-plus-additional-10percent-on-china.html). This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general tariff increase of 10% on imports into the United States from China goes into effect for any amount of time between March 3 and March 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. A general tariff that includes item-specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general tariff increase of 10% on imports into the United States from China goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting China will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

On February 27, President Donald Trump said he would impose an additional 10% tariff on goods imported from China, effective March 4, 2025 (see: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/02/27/trump-says-mexico-canada-tariffs-will-start-march-4-plus-additional-10percent-on-china.html).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general tariff increase of 10% on imports into the United States from China goes into effect for any amount of time between March 3 and March 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended.

A general tariff that includes item-specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general tariff increase of 10% on imports into the United States from China goes into effect.

Only tariffs specifically targeting China will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Volumen
$29,064
Enddatum
7. März 2025
Markt eröffnet
Mar 3, 2025, 11:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
On February 27, President Donald Trump said he would impose an additional 10% tariff on goods imported from China, effective March 4, 2025 (see: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/02/27/trump-says-mexico-canada-tariffs-will-start-march-4-plus-additional-10percent-on-china.html). This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general tariff increase of 10% on imports into the United States from China goes into effect for any amount of time between March 3 and March 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. A general tariff that includes item-specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general tariff increase of 10% on imports into the United States from China goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting China will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes

On February 27, President Donald Trump said he would impose an additional 10% tariff on goods imported from China, effective March 4, 2025 (see: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/02/27/trump-says-mexico-canada-tariffs-will-start-march-4-plus-additional-10percent-on-china.html). This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general tariff increase of 10% on imports into the United States from China goes into effect for any amount of time between March 3 and March 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. A general tariff that includes item-specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general tariff increase of 10% on imports into the United States from China goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting China will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

On February 27, President Donald Trump said he would impose an additional 10% tariff on goods imported from China, effective March 4, 2025 (see: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/02/27/trump-says-mexico-canada-tariffs-will-start-march-4-plus-additional-10percent-on-china.html).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general tariff increase of 10% on imports into the United States from China goes into effect for any amount of time between March 3 and March 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended.

A general tariff that includes item-specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general tariff increase of 10% on imports into the United States from China goes into effect.

Only tariffs specifically targeting China will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Volumen
$29,064
Enddatum
7. März 2025
Markt eröffnet
Mar 3, 2025, 11:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
On February 27, President Donald Trump said he would impose an additional 10% tariff on goods imported from China, effective March 4, 2025 (see: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/02/27/trump-says-mexico-canada-tariffs-will-start-march-4-plus-additional-10percent-on-china.html). This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general tariff increase of 10% on imports into the United States from China goes into effect for any amount of time between March 3 and March 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. A general tariff that includes item-specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general tariff increase of 10% on imports into the United States from China goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting China will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Will Trump 10% China tariff increase go into effect by Friday?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket, auf dem Händler „Ja"- oder „Nein"-Anteile kaufen und verkaufen, je nachdem, ob sie glauben, dass dieses Ereignis eintreten wird. Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit laut Community liegt bei 100% für „Yes". Wird „Ja" beispielsweise bei 100¢ gehandelt, schätzt der Markt die Wahrscheinlichkeit des Eintretens auf 100%. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen und Informationen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Will Trump 10% China tariff increase go into effect by Friday?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $29.1K generiert, seit der Markt am Mar 3, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Will Trump 10% China tariff increase go into effect by Friday?" zu handeln, wählen Sie einfach, ob Sie glauben, dass die Antwort „Ja" oder „Nein" lautet. Jede Seite hat einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes widerspiegelt. Geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Wenn Sie „Ja"-Anteile kaufen und das Ergebnis als „Ja" aufgelöst wird, zahlt jeder Anteil $1 aus. Wird es als „Nein" aufgelöst, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen, um einen Gewinn zu sichern oder einen Verlust zu begrenzen.

Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit für „Will Trump 10% China tariff increase go into effect by Friday?" liegt bei 100% für „Yes". Das bedeutet, die Polymarket-Community glaubt derzeit, dass eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% besteht, dass dieses Ereignis eintritt. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit auf Basis tatsächlicher Handelsgeschäfte aktualisiert und liefern ein ständig aktualisiertes Signal dessen, was der Markt erwartet.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Will Trump 10% China tariff increase go into effect by Friday?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.