US average regular gasoline prices have surged above $4 per gallon—reaching $4.08 nationally as of April 2—driven primarily by escalating Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict disrupting oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz and pushing WTI crude above $108 per barrel and Brent toward $110. This marks a 33% rise over the past month amid refinery lags from pre-war crude purchases and steady demand ahead of the summer driving season. EIA's latest Short-Term Energy Outlook anticipates near-term peaks before potential moderation if tensions ease, but ongoing geopolitical risks, OPEC+ decisions, and possible Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases could sway prices through April 30; traders weigh supply vulnerabilities against historical volatility in conflict-driven rallies.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertNEU
$130,155 Vol.
30. Apr. 2026
↑ $5,00
7%
↑ $4,75
16%
↑ $4,50
44%
↑ $4,25
86%
↑ 4,15 $
95%
↓ $3,95
41%
↓ 3,85 $
36%
↓ $3,75
12%
↓ 3,50 $
9%
↓ $3,25
7%
↓ $3,00
3%
$130,155 Vol.
↑ $5,00
$4,502 Vol.
7%
↑ $4,75
$2,213 Vol.
16%
↑ $4,50
$2,099 Vol.
44%
↑ $4,25
$3,753 Vol.
86%
↑ 4,15 $
$2,793 Vol.
95%
↓ $3,95
$1,586 Vol.
41%
↓ 3,85 $
$2,147 Vol.
36%
↓ $3,75
$444 Vol.
12%
↓ 3,50 $
$75 Vol.
9%
↓ $3,25
$1 Vol.
7%
↓ $3,00
$495 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".US average regular gasoline prices have surged above $4 per gallon—reaching $4.08 nationally as of April 2—driven primarily by escalating Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict disrupting oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz and pushing WTI crude above $108 per barrel and Brent toward $110. This marks a 33% rise over the past month amid refinery lags from pre-war crude purchases and steady demand ahead of the summer driving season. EIA's latest Short-Term Energy Outlook anticipates near-term peaks before potential moderation if tensions ease, but ongoing geopolitical risks, OPEC+ decisions, and possible Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases could sway prices through April 30; traders weigh supply vulnerabilities against historical volatility in conflict-driven rallies.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Markt eröffnet: Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
Volumen
$130,155Enddatum
30. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".US average regular gasoline prices have surged above $4 per gallon—reaching $4.08 nationally as of April 2—driven primarily by escalating Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict disrupting oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz and pushing WTI crude above $108 per barrel and Brent toward $110. This marks a 33% rise over the past month amid refinery lags from pre-war crude purchases and steady demand ahead of the summer driving season. EIA's latest Short-Term Energy Outlook anticipates near-term peaks before potential moderation if tensions ease, but ongoing geopolitical risks, OPEC+ decisions, and possible Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases could sway prices through April 30; traders weigh supply vulnerabilities against historical volatility in conflict-driven rallies.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and April 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Volumen
$130,155Enddatum
30. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 31, 2026, 11:04 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
US average regular gasoline prices have surged above $4 per gallon—reaching $4.08 nationally as of April 2—driven primarily by escalating Middle East tensions, including the Iran conflict disrupting oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz and pushing WTI crude above $108 per barrel and Brent toward $110. This marks a 33% rise over the past month amid refinery lags from pre-war crude purchases and steady demand ahead of the summer driving season. EIA's latest Short-Term Energy Outlook anticipates near-term peaks before potential moderation if tensions ease, but ongoing geopolitical risks, OPEC+ decisions, and possible Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases could sway prices through April 30; traders weigh supply vulnerabilities against historical volatility in conflict-driven rallies.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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