Trader sentiment on Polymarket tilts against Crude Oil (CL) hitting elevated levels during the week of March 16, with yes shares trading below 40% implied probability, reflecting bearish pressures from surging US inventories and softening Chinese demand. WTI futures hover near $77/bbl after last week's EIA report showed a 1.2MM barrel build exceeding expectations, countering OPEC+ supply curbs. Key downside risks include persistent Red Sea disruptions capping upside, while a stronger USD amid delayed Fed rate cuts dampens global buying. Watch Thursday's EIA data and Friday's Baker Hughes rig count for volatility; breaching $80 would require bullish inventory draws or fresh geopolitical flares to shift odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWill Crude Oil (CL) hit__ Week of March 16?
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ Week of March 16?
$853,217 Vol.
↑ $140
<1%
↑ $120
<1%
↑ $110
<1%
↑ $105
<1%
↑ $100
<1%
↓ $90
<1%
↓ $85
<1%
↓ $80
<1%
↓ $75
<1%
↓ $70
<1%
$853,217 Vol.
↑ $140
<1%
↑ $120
<1%
↑ $110
<1%
↑ $105
<1%
↑ $100
<1%
↓ $90
<1%
↓ $85
<1%
↓ $80
<1%
↓ $75
<1%
↓ $70
<1%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 16, 2026, 2:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket tilts against Crude Oil (CL) hitting elevated levels during the week of March 16, with yes shares trading below 40% implied probability, reflecting bearish pressures from surging US inventories and softening Chinese demand. WTI futures hover near $77/bbl after last week's EIA report showed a 1.2MM barrel build exceeding expectations, countering OPEC+ supply curbs. Key downside risks include persistent Red Sea disruptions capping upside, while a stronger USD amid delayed Fed rate cuts dampens global buying. Watch Thursday's EIA data and Friday's Baker Hughes rig count for volatility; breaching $80 would require bullish inventory draws or fresh geopolitical flares to shift odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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