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Technik·AI

Will anyone win the ARC Prize Grand Prize?

Market icon
Technik·AI

Will anyone win the ARC Prize Grand Prize?

$5,427 Vol.

Dec 5, 2025
Polymarket

$5,427 Vol.

Polymarket

Grand Prize Winner (Any CPT)

$353 Vol.

No

Grand Prize Winner (CPT<$1,000)

$240 Vol.

No

Grand Prize Winner (CPT<$100)

$2,738 Vol.

No

Grand Prize Winner (CPT<$10)

$2,095 Vol.

No

The winners of the ARC Prize 2025 are scheduled to be publicly announced on December 5, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 85% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 with the specified cost per task (CPT) by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only scores publicly confirmed by the ARC Prize will qualify. If ARC Prize does not publicly the relevant data by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org).The winners of the ARC Prize 2025 are scheduled to be publicly announced on December 5, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 85% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 with the specified cost per task (CPT) by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only scores publicly confirmed by the ARC Prize will qualify. If ARC Prize does not publicly the relevant data by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org).The winners of the ARC Prize 2025 are scheduled to be publicly announced on December 5, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 85% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 with the specified cost per task (CPT) by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only scores publicly confirmed by the ARC Prize will qualify. If ARC Prize does not publicly the relevant data by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org).The winners of the ARC Prize 2025 are scheduled to be publicly announced on December 5, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 85% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 with the specified cost per task (CPT) by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only scores publicly confirmed by the ARC Prize will qualify. If ARC Prize does not publicly the relevant data by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org).

The winners of the ARC Prize 2025 are scheduled to be publicly announced on December 5, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 85% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 with the specified cost per task (CPT) by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only scores publicly confirmed by the ARC Prize will qualify.

If ARC Prize does not publicly the relevant data by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org).
Volumen
$5,427
Enddatum
Dec 5, 2025
Markt eröffnet
Nov 24, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The winners of the ARC Prize 2025 are scheduled to be publicly announced on December 5, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 85% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 with the specified cost per task (CPT) by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only scores publicly confirmed by the ARC Prize will qualify. If ARC Prize does not publicly the relevant data by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org).

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

The winners of the ARC Prize 2025 are scheduled to be publicly announced on December 5, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 85% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 with the specified cost per task (CPT) by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only scores publicly confirmed by the ARC Prize will qualify. If ARC Prize does not publicly the relevant data by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org).The winners of the ARC Prize 2025 are scheduled to be publicly announced on December 5, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 85% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 with the specified cost per task (CPT) by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only scores publicly confirmed by the ARC Prize will qualify. If ARC Prize does not publicly the relevant data by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org).The winners of the ARC Prize 2025 are scheduled to be publicly announced on December 5, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 85% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 with the specified cost per task (CPT) by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only scores publicly confirmed by the ARC Prize will qualify. If ARC Prize does not publicly the relevant data by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org).The winners of the ARC Prize 2025 are scheduled to be publicly announced on December 5, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 85% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 with the specified cost per task (CPT) by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only scores publicly confirmed by the ARC Prize will qualify. If ARC Prize does not publicly the relevant data by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org).

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Will anyone win the ARC Prize Grand Prize?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 4 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Grand Prize Winner (Any CPT)" mit 0%, gefolgt von „Grand Prize Winner (CPT<$1,000)" mit 0%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 0¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 0% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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Dies ist ein offener Markt. Der aktuelle Spitzenreiter für „Will anyone win the ARC Prize Grand Prize?" ist „Grand Prize Winner (Any CPT)" mit nur 0%, dicht gefolgt von „Grand Prize Winner (CPT<$1,000)" mit 0%. Da kein Ergebnis eine starke Mehrheit hat, sehen Händler dies als hochgradig unsicher an, was einzigartige Handelsmöglichkeiten bieten kann. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert – speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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