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Politik·Erwähnungen

Who will Trump name in April?

Market icon
Politik·Erwähnungen

Who will Trump name in April?

NEU
30. Apr. 2026
Polymarket

$4,092 Vol.

Polymarket

Kamala

$44 Vol.

86%

Netanyahu

$459 Vol.

91%

Newsom / Newscum

$135 Vol.

91%

Keir / Starmer

$51 Vol.

84%

Viktor / Orbán

$16 Vol.

80%

Caine

$9 Vol.

71%

Kushner

$51 Vol.

77%

Warsh

$4 Vol.

70%

Homan

$65 Vol.

72%

Oz

$0 Vol.

71%

Delcy

$36 Vol.

69%

Gianni / Infantino

$104 Vol.

68%

Rand Paul

$120 Vol.

67%

Maduro

$7 Vol.

45%

Schumer

$0 Vol.

59%

Leo XIV / Pope

$0 Vol.

55%

Massie

$55 Vol.

54%

Castro

$1 Vol.

54%

Friedrich / Merz

$0 Vol.

50%

Bush

$0 Vol.

50%

Bernie

$0 Vol.

48%

Machado

$0 Vol.

46%

Leavitt

$78 Vol.

29%

Bolsonaro

$0 Vol.

44%

Nicki / Minaj

$0 Vol.

44%

Paxton

$0 Vol.

43%

Talarico

$0 Vol.

43%

Kavanaugh

$2 Vol.

25%

Jensen / Huang

$2 Vol.

25%

Hillary

$38 Vol.

36%

Zohran / Mamdani

$45 Vol.

48%

Zuckerberg

$7 Vol.

45%

Warren / Pocahontas

$93 Vol.

45%

Elon / Musk

$4 Vol.

50%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's April 1 prime-time address to the nation on Operation Epic Fury against Iran avoided naming political rivals or foreign leaders, preserving the Polymarket mentions market through early April. Trader consensus prices Kamala Harris at 95% implied probability to be named, driven by Trump's longstanding pattern of referencing her in speeches and Truth Social posts critiquing Democratic policies, a habit persisting into his second term. Netanyahu follows at 93.5% amid heightened U.S.-Israel coordination on Iran threats, with Newsom at 91% reflecting domestic California tensions. Upcoming catalysts include the White House Easter Egg Roll on April 6, Karoline Leavitt press briefings, and potential cabinet discussions on Tulsi Gabbard, any of which could trigger resolutions before month's end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volumen
$4,092
Enddatum
30. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 30, 2026, 5:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's April 1 prime-time address to the nation on Operation Epic Fury against Iran avoided naming political rivals or foreign leaders, preserving the Polymarket mentions market through early April. Trader consensus prices Kamala Harris at 95% implied probability to be named, driven by Trump's longstanding pattern of referencing her in speeches and Truth Social posts critiquing Democratic policies, a habit persisting into his second term. Netanyahu follows at 93.5% amid heightened U.S.-Israel coordination on Iran threats, with Newsom at 91% reflecting domestic California tensions. Upcoming catalysts include the White House Easter Egg Roll on April 6, Karoline Leavitt press briefings, and potential cabinet discussions on Tulsi Gabbard, any of which could trigger resolutions before month's end.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volumen
$4,092
Enddatum
30. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 30, 2026, 5:54 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed name between April 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Who will Trump name in April?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 37 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Ilhan / Omar" mit 100%, gefolgt von „Emmanuel / Macron" mit 100%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 100¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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