Trader consensus on Polymarket implies strong probabilities for President Trump to endorse Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton (60%) over incumbent Senator John Cornyn (21%) in the Texas Senate Republican runoff and Senator Susan Collins (67%) in her Maine Senate primary, driven by Paxton's recent 53%-37% polling lead amid grassroots backlash against Cornyn and Trump's pattern of backing aligned challengers in high-volume GOP primaries. Trump has withheld a Texas endorsement despite both candidates urging him to consolidate the field ahead of the May 26 runoff, following his recent blanket support for all 10 incumbent House Republicans and a touted 5-0 primary win streak, though a North Carolina Senate leader lost despite his backing. Upcoming primaries and Senate confirmation pressures could prompt announcements, with markets resolving by November 2026 if no endorsements occur pre-election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$111,081 Vol.

Susan Collins - ME-Sen
65%

Ken Paxton - TX-Sen
61%

Andy Barr - KY-Sen
40%

Steve Hilton - CA-Gov
50%

John Cornyn - TX-Sen
17%
$111,081 Vol.

Susan Collins - ME-Sen
65%

Ken Paxton - TX-Sen
61%

Andy Barr - KY-Sen
40%

Steve Hilton - CA-Gov
50%

John Cornyn - TX-Sen
17%
If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2025, 4:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies strong probabilities for President Trump to endorse Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton (60%) over incumbent Senator John Cornyn (21%) in the Texas Senate Republican runoff and Senator Susan Collins (67%) in her Maine Senate primary, driven by Paxton's recent 53%-37% polling lead amid grassroots backlash against Cornyn and Trump's pattern of backing aligned challengers in high-volume GOP primaries. Trump has withheld a Texas endorsement despite both candidates urging him to consolidate the field ahead of the May 26 runoff, following his recent blanket support for all 10 incumbent House Republicans and a touted 5-0 primary win streak, though a North Carolina Senate leader lost despite his backing. Upcoming primaries and Senate confirmation pressures could prompt announcements, with markets resolving by November 2026 if no endorsements occur pre-election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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