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Politik·Trump

Wer wird die Trump-Administration vor 2027 verlassen?

Market icon
Politik·Trump

Wer wird die Trump-Administration vor 2027 verlassen?

Dez. 31

Dez. 31

$756,638 Vol.

31. Dez. 2026
Polymarket

$756,638 Vol.

Polymarket

Kash Patel

$113,535 Vol.

77%

Tulsi Gabbard

$5,250 Vol.

62%

Kristi Noem

$83,722 Vol.

59%

Pete Hegseth

$7,460 Vol.

43%

Lee Zeldin

$23,703 Vol.

42%

Howard Lutnick

$32,064 Vol.

41%

Tom Homan

$33 Vol.

24%

Karoline Leavitt

$8,988 Vol.

40%

Dan Scavino

$0 Vol.

39%

Scott Bessent

$397 Vol.

22%

Susie Wiles

$38,976 Vol.

34%

David Sacks

$5,884 Vol.

31%

John Ratcliffe

$0 Vol.

28%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$63,132 Vol.

28%

Russell Vought

$129 Vol.

17%

Marco Rubio

$2,576 Vol.

18%

Stephen Miller

$495 Vol.

17%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.President Donald Trump's abrupt firing of Attorney General Pam Bondi on April 2, 2026, amid frustrations over Department of Justice performance including Epstein files handling, marks the second cabinet-level departure this year following DHS Secretary Kristi Noem's ouster on March 5 after scrutiny of border security and disaster response. These shakeups, alongside counterterrorism chief Joe Kent's March 17 resignation over Iran policy differences and earlier exit of FBI Deputy Director Dan Bongino in January, reflect the administration's elevated turnover patterns reminiscent of the first term's 90% cabinet churn. Trader consensus anticipates more exits before 2027, driven by reported tensions around FBI Director Kash Patel's internal firings and private discussions on replacing DNI Tulsi Gabbard, with 2026 midterms and oversight hearings as potential triggers.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Volumen
$756,638
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 12:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.President Donald Trump's abrupt firing of Attorney General Pam Bondi on April 2, 2026, amid frustrations over Department of Justice performance including Epstein files handling, marks the second cabinet-level departure this year following DHS Secretary Kristi Noem's ouster on March 5 after scrutiny of border security and disaster response. These shakeups, alongside counterterrorism chief Joe Kent's March 17 resignation over Iran policy differences and earlier exit of FBI Deputy Director Dan Bongino in January, reflect the administration's elevated turnover patterns reminiscent of the first term's 90% cabinet churn. Trader consensus anticipates more exits before 2027, driven by reported tensions around FBI Director Kash Patel's internal firings and private discussions on replacing DNI Tulsi Gabbard, with 2026 midterms and oversight hearings as potential triggers.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Volumen
$756,638
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 12:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wer wird die Trump-Administration vor 2027 verlassen?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 19 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Pam Bondi" mit 100%, gefolgt von „Dan Bongino" mit 100%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 100¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Wer wird die Trump-Administration vor 2027 verlassen?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $756.6K generiert, seit der Markt am Nov 5, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wer wird die Trump-Administration vor 2027 verlassen?" ist „Pam Bondi" mit 100%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Dan Bongino" mit 100%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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