Trump administration turnover accelerated with Attorney General Pam Bondi's firing on April 2 amid frustrations over document handling and prosecutions, marking the second high-profile exit after Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem's March 5 ouster and reassignment to Special Envoy for the Shield of the Americas amid agency shutdowns and bipartisan criticism. Recent resignations include the U.S. counterterrorism chief over Iran policy and earlier senior official departures tied to escalating Middle East conflict. Traders weigh historical Trump cabinet volatility—over 80% turnover in first term—against rumors of post-2026 midterm shifts, such as Chief of Staff Susie Wiles potentially resigning, with confirmation hearings and debt ceiling deadlines looming as catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$755,568 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Kash Patel
78%
Tulsi Gabbard
59%
Kristi Noem
58%
Karoline Leavitt
41%
Lee Zeldin
46%
Pete Hegseth
40%
Tom Homan
24%
Dan Scavino
39%
Howard Lutnick
36%
Scott Bessent
22%
Susie Wiles
34%
David Sacks
29%
John Ratcliffe
28%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
28%
Russell Vought
17%
Marco Rubio
18%
Stephen Miller
17%
$755,568 Vol.
Kash Patel
$113,533 Vol.
78%
Tulsi Gabbard
$5,179 Vol.
59%
Kristi Noem
$83,722 Vol.
58%
Karoline Leavitt
$8,961 Vol.
41%
Lee Zeldin
$23,501 Vol.
46%
Pete Hegseth
$6,888 Vol.
40%
Tom Homan
$33 Vol.
24%
Dan Scavino
$0 Vol.
39%
Howard Lutnick
$31,741 Vol.
36%
Scott Bessent
$397 Vol.
22%
Susie Wiles
$38,976 Vol.
34%
David Sacks
$5,884 Vol.
29%
John Ratcliffe
$0 Vol.
28%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$63,132 Vol.
28%
Russell Vought
$129 Vol.
17%
Marco Rubio
$2,532 Vol.
18%
Stephen Miller
$495 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Trump administration turnover accelerated with Attorney General Pam Bondi's firing on April 2 amid frustrations over document handling and prosecutions, marking the second high-profile exit after Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem's March 5 ouster and reassignment to Special Envoy for the Shield of the Americas amid agency shutdowns and bipartisan criticism. Recent resignations include the U.S. counterterrorism chief over Iran policy and earlier senior official departures tied to escalating Middle East conflict. Traders weigh historical Trump cabinet volatility—over 80% turnover in first term—against rumors of post-2026 midterm shifts, such as Chief of Staff Susie Wiles potentially resigning, with confirmation hearings and debt ceiling deadlines looming as catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 5, 2025, 12:34 PM ET
Volumen
$755,568Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 12:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Trump administration turnover accelerated with Attorney General Pam Bondi's firing on April 2 amid frustrations over document handling and prosecutions, marking the second high-profile exit after Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem's March 5 ouster and reassignment to Special Envoy for the Shield of the Americas amid agency shutdowns and bipartisan criticism. Recent resignations include the U.S. counterterrorism chief over Iran policy and earlier senior official departures tied to escalating Middle East conflict. Traders weigh historical Trump cabinet volatility—over 80% turnover in first term—against rumors of post-2026 midterm shifts, such as Chief of Staff Susie Wiles potentially resigning, with confirmation hearings and debt ceiling deadlines looming as catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Volumen
$755,568Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 12:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump administration turnover accelerated with Attorney General Pam Bondi's firing on April 2 amid frustrations over document handling and prosecutions, marking the second high-profile exit after Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem's March 5 ouster and reassignment to Special Envoy for the Shield of the Americas amid agency shutdowns and bipartisan criticism. Recent resignations include the U.S. counterterrorism chief over Iran policy and earlier senior official departures tied to escalating Middle East conflict. Traders weigh historical Trump cabinet volatility—over 80% turnover in first term—against rumors of post-2026 midterm shifts, such as Chief of Staff Susie Wiles potentially resigning, with confirmation hearings and debt ceiling deadlines looming as catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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