Recent dismissals of Attorney General Pam Bondi on April 2 and Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem in early March from their cabinet posts—but with reported reassignments within the administration—highlight ongoing high turnover rates, now at 29% for top executive roles per Brookings tracking. These shake-ups, tied to controversies over DOJ prosecutions, immigration ad spending, and congressional testimony, have fueled trader consensus for elevated implied probabilities on further exits like FBI Director Kash Patel amid Iran-linked cyber tensions and policy clashes. The Atlantic reports active White House discussions on additional departures, including Army Secretary Daniel Driscoll and Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer, as 2026 midterms loom and institutional pressures mount.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$827,922 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Tulsi Gabbard
65%
Kash Patel
57%
Kristi Noem
54%
Howard Lutnick
52%
Pete Hegseth
47%
John Ratcliffe
40%
Karoline Leavitt
36%
Lee Zeldin
36%
Susie Wiles
33%
David Sacks
31%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
26%
Stephen Miller
18%
Scott Bessent
18%
Marco Rubio
15%
Russell Vought
26%
Tom Homan
27%
Dan Scavino
33%
$827,922 Vol.
Tulsi Gabbard
$14,844 Vol.
65%
Kash Patel
$156,218 Vol.
57%
Kristi Noem
$85,131 Vol.
54%
Howard Lutnick
$35,454 Vol.
52%
Pete Hegseth
$17,696 Vol.
47%
John Ratcliffe
$0 Vol.
40%
Karoline Leavitt
$11,652 Vol.
36%
Lee Zeldin
$23,743 Vol.
36%
Susie Wiles
$39,673 Vol.
33%
David Sacks
$6,314 Vol.
31%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$63,137 Vol.
26%
Stephen Miller
$551 Vol.
18%
Scott Bessent
$411 Vol.
18%
Marco Rubio
$2,728 Vol.
15%
Russell Vought
$134 Vol.
26%
Tom Homan
$40 Vol.
27%
Dan Scavino
$31 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Recent dismissals of Attorney General Pam Bondi on April 2 and Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem in early March from their cabinet posts—but with reported reassignments within the administration—highlight ongoing high turnover rates, now at 29% for top executive roles per Brookings tracking. These shake-ups, tied to controversies over DOJ prosecutions, immigration ad spending, and congressional testimony, have fueled trader consensus for elevated implied probabilities on further exits like FBI Director Kash Patel amid Iran-linked cyber tensions and policy clashes. The Atlantic reports active White House discussions on additional departures, including Army Secretary Daniel Driscoll and Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer, as 2026 midterms loom and institutional pressures mount.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 5, 2025, 12:34 PM ET
Volumen
$827,922Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 12:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Recent dismissals of Attorney General Pam Bondi on April 2 and Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem in early March from their cabinet posts—but with reported reassignments within the administration—highlight ongoing high turnover rates, now at 29% for top executive roles per Brookings tracking. These shake-ups, tied to controversies over DOJ prosecutions, immigration ad spending, and congressional testimony, have fueled trader consensus for elevated implied probabilities on further exits like FBI Director Kash Patel amid Iran-linked cyber tensions and policy clashes. The Atlantic reports active White House discussions on additional departures, including Army Secretary Daniel Driscoll and Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer, as 2026 midterms loom and institutional pressures mount.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Volumen
$827,922Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 12:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent dismissals of Attorney General Pam Bondi on April 2 and Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem in early March from their cabinet posts—but with reported reassignments within the administration—highlight ongoing high turnover rates, now at 29% for top executive roles per Brookings tracking. These shake-ups, tied to controversies over DOJ prosecutions, immigration ad spending, and congressional testimony, have fueled trader consensus for elevated implied probabilities on further exits like FBI Director Kash Patel amid Iran-linked cyber tensions and policy clashes. The Atlantic reports active White House discussions on additional departures, including Army Secretary Daniel Driscoll and Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer, as 2026 midterms loom and institutional pressures mount.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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