California's 2026 gubernatorial primary uses a top-two system, advancing the leading two candidates regardless of party to the general election amid a wide-open Democratic field due to term limits for incumbent Gavin Newsom. Recent polling averages from outlets like Berkeley IGS and PPIC place Lt. Gov. Eleni Kounalakis atop the pack at 15-20% support, buoyed by her fundraising dominance exceeding $3 million and statewide name recognition, while former Rep. Katie Porter trails closely at 12-15% following her strong 2024 Senate showing, with Senate Pro Tem Toni Atkins and others in single digits. Republicans like Chad Bianco lag far behind in the blue state. No major shifts in the past week; upcoming candidate filings by March 2026 and the March 3 primary, plus potential debates and endorsements, will be pivotal catalysts.
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Elaine Culotti
94%
Eric Swalwell
73%
Steve Hilton
56%
Chad Bianco
36%
Tom Steyer
28%
Katie Porter
25%
Matt Mahan
20%
Ché Ahn
12%
Xavier Becerra
9%
Betty Yee
6%
Tony Thurmond
5%
Ethan Agarwal
5%
Ryan Tillman
5%
Sharifah Hardie
4%
Jimmy Parker
4%
Dylan Colbert
3%
Daniel Mercuri
3%
Nicki Minaj
3%
Derek Grasty
3%
Antonio Villaraigosa
2%
Leo Zacky
2%
David Serpa
2%
Javen Allen
12%
Leonard Jackson
2%
Raji Rab
2%
Carolina Buhler
2%
Nicholas Thompson
2%
Kyle Langford
2%
Butch Ware
2%
Thunder Parley
1%
Ramsey Robinson
1%
Brandon Jones
1%
Ian Calderon
1%
Zoltan Istvan
1%
David Thelen
1%
Sophia Brink
1%
$201,938 Vol.
Elaine Culotti
94%
Eric Swalwell
73%
Steve Hilton
56%
Chad Bianco
36%
Tom Steyer
28%
Katie Porter
25%
Matt Mahan
20%
Ché Ahn
12%
Xavier Becerra
9%
Betty Yee
6%
Tony Thurmond
5%
Ethan Agarwal
5%
Ryan Tillman
5%
Sharifah Hardie
4%
Jimmy Parker
4%
Dylan Colbert
3%
Daniel Mercuri
3%
Nicki Minaj
3%
Derek Grasty
3%
Antonio Villaraigosa
2%
Leo Zacky
2%
David Serpa
2%
Javen Allen
12%
Leonard Jackson
2%
Raji Rab
2%
Carolina Buhler
2%
Nicholas Thompson
2%
Kyle Langford
2%
Butch Ware
2%
Thunder Parley
1%
Ramsey Robinson
1%
Brandon Jones
1%
Ian Calderon
1%
Zoltan Istvan
1%
David Thelen
1%
Sophia Brink
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 4, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...California's 2026 gubernatorial primary uses a top-two system, advancing the leading two candidates regardless of party to the general election amid a wide-open Democratic field due to term limits for incumbent Gavin Newsom. Recent polling averages from outlets like Berkeley IGS and PPIC place Lt. Gov. Eleni Kounalakis atop the pack at 15-20% support, buoyed by her fundraising dominance exceeding $3 million and statewide name recognition, while former Rep. Katie Porter trails closely at 12-15% following her strong 2024 Senate showing, with Senate Pro Tem Toni Atkins and others in single digits. Republicans like Chad Bianco lag far behind in the blue state. No major shifts in the past week; upcoming candidate filings by March 2026 and the March 3 primary, plus potential debates and endorsements, will be pivotal catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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