Market icon
Politik·Trump

Wer hat Epsteins Insel besucht?

Market icon
Politik·Trump

Wer hat Epsteins Insel besucht?

$1,558,557 Vol.

30. Juni 2026
Polymarket

$1,558,557 Vol.

Polymarket

Richard Branson

$49,636 Vol.

20%

Kevin Spacey

$26,016 Vol.

19%

Steve Bannon

$57,601 Vol.

13%

Woody Allen

$12,191 Vol.

12%

Steven Tisch

$0 Vol.

10%

Deepak Chopra

$0 Vol.

10%

Harvey Weinstein

$17,148 Vol.

8%

Noam Chomsky

$24,687 Vol.

8%

Bill Gates

$97,068 Vol.

7%

Bill Clinton

$257,912 Vol.

6%

Bill Cosby

$8,810 Vol.

5%

Michael Jackson

$153,198 Vol.

4%

Donald Trump

$130,891 Vol.

4%

Hillary Clinton

$39,715 Vol.

3%

Peter Attia

$6,967 Vol.

3%

Elon Musk

$78,510 Vol.

3%

Jay-Z

$576,563 Vol.

3%

Marco Rubio

$21,643 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The U.S. Department of Justice's release of over three million Epstein files in January and February 2026, including flight logs, emails, and testimonies referencing Little St. James, has driven trader sentiment by resurfacing associations for figures like Bill Gates, Elon Musk, and Prince Andrew without confirming many new island visits. Prior unsealed documents already identified repeat visitors such as Bill Clinton, while denials persist from others named peripherally. Markets reflect trader consensus on low probabilities for additional high-profile confirmations amid congressional reviews of "politically exposed persons" lists and potential testimonies, with resolutions hinging on credible evidence like geolocated data or victim statements before any final deadline. Ongoing scrutiny underscores the distinction between mentions and verified trips.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,558,557
Enddatum
30. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
Feb 12, 2026, 5:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The U.S. Department of Justice's release of over three million Epstein files in January and February 2026, including flight logs, emails, and testimonies referencing Little St. James, has driven trader sentiment by resurfacing associations for figures like Bill Gates, Elon Musk, and Prince Andrew without confirming many new island visits. Prior unsealed documents already identified repeat visitors such as Bill Clinton, while denials persist from others named peripherally. Markets reflect trader consensus on low probabilities for additional high-profile confirmations amid congressional reviews of "politically exposed persons" lists and potential testimonies, with resolutions hinging on credible evidence like geolocated data or victim statements before any final deadline. Ongoing scrutiny underscores the distinction between mentions and verified trips.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,558,557
Enddatum
30. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
Feb 12, 2026, 5:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wer hat Epsteins Insel besucht?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 18 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Richard Branson" mit 20%, gefolgt von „Kevin Spacey" mit 19%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 20¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 20% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Wer hat Epsteins Insel besucht?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $1.6 million generiert, seit der Markt am Feb 12, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Wer hat Epsteins Insel besucht?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 18 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wer hat Epsteins Insel besucht?" ist „Richard Branson" mit 20%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 20% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Kevin Spacey" mit 19%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wer hat Epsteins Insel besucht?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.