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Technik·AI

Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Market icon
Technik·AI

Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Mar 31

Apr 30

Jun 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

Jun 30

Anthropic 78%

xAI 7.0%

Google 6%

OpenAI 2.8%

Polymarket

$634,622 Vol.

Anthropic 78%

xAI 7.0%

Google 6%

OpenAI 2.8%

Polymarket

$634,622 Vol.

Market icon

Anthropic

$15,502 Vol.

78%

Market icon

xAI

$126,093 Vol.

7%

Market icon

Google

$22,065 Vol.

6%

Market icon

OpenAI

$60,665 Vol.

3%

Market icon

DeepSeek

$219,684 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Moonshot

$58,070 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Z.ai

$24,620 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Alibaba

$6,313 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Mistral

$61,424 Vol.

1%

Market icon

ByteDance

$6,113 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Amazon

$25,554 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Meituan

$5,700 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Baidu

$5,147 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Anthropic a 77.5% implied probability of holding the #1 spot on the LMArena Text Arena leaderboard (style control on) by April 30, driven by Claude Opus 4.6's sustained dominance in crowdsourced benchmarks for reasoning, coding, and creative tasks since its February release. A March 27 data leak exposed "Claude Mythos," an unreleased model Anthropic describes as a "step change" in capabilities—excelling in agentic workflows and cybersecurity simulations—bolstering expectations it will extend the lead before resolution. xAI's Grok-4.20 beta (7%) and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro (6.5%) trail closely but lack confirmed April upgrades to overtake, while OpenAI's recent GPT-5.4 variants (3%) have underperformed in arena Elo ratings. Watch for beta rollouts or leaderboard shifts in the next month.

Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Anthropic a 77.5% implied probability of holding the #1 spot on the LMArena Text Arena leaderboard (style control on) by April 30, driven by Claude Opus 4.6's sustained dominance in crowdsourced benchmarks for reasoning, coding, and creative tasks since its February release. A March 27 data leak exposed "Claude Mythos," an unreleased model Anthropic describes as a "step change" in capabilities—excelling in agentic workflows and cybersecurity simulations—bolstering expectations it will extend the lead before resolution. xAI's Grok-4.20 beta (7%) and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro (6.5%) trail closely but lack confirmed April upgrades to overtake, while OpenAI's recent GPT-5.4 variants (3%) have underperformed in arena Elo ratings. Watch for beta rollouts or leaderboard shifts in the next month.

Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Anthropic a 77.5% implied probability of holding the #1 spot on the LMArena Text Arena leaderboard (style control on) by April 30, driven by Claude Opus 4.6's sustained dominance in crowdsourced benchmarks for reasoning, coding, and creative tasks since its February release. A March 27 data leak exposed "Claude Mythos," an unreleased model Anthropic describes as a "step change" in capabilities—excelling in agentic workflows and cybersecurity simulations—bolstering expectations it will extend the lead before resolution. xAI's Grok-4.20 beta (7%) and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro (6.5%) trail closely but lack confirmed April upgrades to overtake, while OpenAI's recent GPT-5.4 variants (3%) have underperformed in arena Elo ratings. Watch for beta rollouts or leaderboard shifts in the next month.

Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Anthropic a 77.5% implied probability of holding the #1 spot on the LMArena Text Arena leaderboard (style control on) by April 30, driven by Claude Opus 4.6's sustained dominance in crowdsourced benchmarks for reasoning, coding, and creative tasks since its February release. A March 27 data leak exposed "Claude Mythos," an unreleased model Anthropic describes as a "step change" in capabilities—excelling in agentic workflows and cybersecurity simulations—bolstering expectations it will extend the lead before resolution. xAI's Grok-4.20 beta (7%) and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro (6.5%) trail closely but lack confirmed April upgrades to overtake, while OpenAI's recent GPT-5.4 variants (3%) have underperformed in arena Elo ratings. Watch for beta rollouts or leaderboard shifts in the next month.

Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 13 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Anthropic" mit 78%, gefolgt von „xAI" mit 7%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 78¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 78% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $634.6K generiert, seit der Markt am Mar 20, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 13 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)" ist „Anthropic" mit 78%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 78% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „xAI" mit 7%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.