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What will Trump say in first speech after AP calls the election?

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What will Trump say in first speech after AP calls the election?

$1,881,199 Vol.

Nov 30, 2024
Polymarket

$1,881,199 Vol.

Polymarket

Kamala

$130,950 Vol.

No

Rig/Rigged

$53,723 Vol.

No

Fraud

$62,277 Vol.

Yes

MAGA

$160,784 Vol.

Yes

God

$114,732 Vol.

No

Border

$137,596 Vol.

Yes

Crypto/Bitcoin

$654,855 Vol.

No

Elon

$161,220 Vol.

Yes

Illegal

$25,602 Vol.

No

Pennsylvania

$181,816 Vol.

Yes

Steal/Stole

$35,554 Vol.

No

We Won

$39,717 Vol.

Yes

Mail-in

$26,262 Vol.

No

Victory 3+ times

$29,725 Vol.

No

America 5+ times

$66,384 Vol.

No

This market refers to the first speech given by Donald Trump after the Associated Press (AP) has declared a winner for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. If the AP declares a winner while Donald Trump has already begun delivering a speech, the entirety of the speech will be considered for this market including terms mentioned prior to the AP’s announcement.

A speech is defined as any statement delivered on camera which is three minutes (180 seconds) or greater in length.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Kamala" during their speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Kamala" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the US vice president Kamala Harris.

If the AP does not declare a winner by November 30, 2024 ET, or Donald Trump does not give a speech between the AP declaring a winner and November 30, 2024 ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
Volumen
$1,881,199
Enddatum
Nov 30, 2024
Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2024, 1:23 PM ET
This market refers to the first speech given by Donald Trump after the Associated Press (AP) has declared a winner for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. If the AP declares a winner while Donald Trump has already begun delivering a speech, the entirety of the speech will be considered for this market including terms mentioned prior to the AP’s announcement. A speech is defined as any statement delivered on camera which is three minutes (180 seconds) or greater in length. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Kamala" during their speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Kamala" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the US vice president Kamala Harris. If the AP does not declare a winner by November 30, 2024 ET, or Donald Trump does not give a speech between the AP declaring a winner and November 30, 2024 ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Trump say in first speech after AP calls the election?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Fraud" at 100%, followed by "MAGA" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Trump say in first speech after AP calls the election?" has generated $1.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Trump say in first speech after AP calls the election?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Trump say in first speech after AP calls the election?" is "Fraud" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "MAGA" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Trump say in first speech after AP calls the election?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.