Trump's consistent Truth Social activity, averaging multiple daily posts on political rivals, legal challenges, and election integrity, forms the core driver of trader sentiment for his March 16-22 content, with implied probabilities favoring Biden critiques and trial updates. Following his Super Tuesday sweep on March 5, recent posts emphasized GOP dominance and general election momentum, boosting odds for primary-related commentary ahead of Illinois, Ohio, and Florida contests on March 19. Ongoing classified documents developments and Georgia probe filings remain key catalysts, while traders monitor news cycles like congressional budget votes for potential shifts in his messaging patterns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$81,727 Vol.
Ass
4%
Lawsuit
29%
Illinois
14%
Epic Fury
28%
Oscar / Oscars
10%
Hillary / Clinton
7%
SOTU / State of the Union / State of Our Union
4%
IRGC / Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps
36%
Filibuster
28%
Stupid
35%
Death to America
8%
Claude / Anthropic
1%
Hamas / Hezbollah
11%
Too Big to Rig
26%
Democrat Shutdown
19%
Mamdani
9%
Texas
12%
Son
12%
Cornyn
4%
Jake Paul
2%
$81,727 Vol.
Ass
4%
Lawsuit
29%
Illinois
14%
Epic Fury
28%
Oscar / Oscars
10%
Hillary / Clinton
7%
SOTU / State of the Union / State of Our Union
4%
IRGC / Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps
36%
Filibuster
28%
Stupid
35%
Death to America
8%
Claude / Anthropic
1%
Hamas / Hezbollah
11%
Too Big to Rig
26%
Democrat Shutdown
19%
Mamdani
9%
Texas
12%
Son
12%
Cornyn
4%
Jake Paul
2%
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Note: "Mutilization" must be written verbatim in order to qualify, any additional riffs on spelling or grammatical variations will not be considered, nor will the proper word "Mutilation". Differences in capitalization will qualify.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 13, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's consistent Truth Social activity, averaging multiple daily posts on political rivals, legal challenges, and election integrity, forms the core driver of trader sentiment for his March 16-22 content, with implied probabilities favoring Biden critiques and trial updates. Following his Super Tuesday sweep on March 5, recent posts emphasized GOP dominance and general election momentum, boosting odds for primary-related commentary ahead of Illinois, Ohio, and Florida contests on March 19. Ongoing classified documents developments and Georgia probe filings remain key catalysts, while traders monitor news cycles like congressional budget votes for potential shifts in his messaging patterns.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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