Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 77.5% in Virginia's 6th Congressional District House race, driven by anticipation surrounding the April 21 constitutional amendment referendum allowing the Democratic-controlled General Assembly to draw new congressional maps for 2026 midterms. Proposed maps would reshape VA-06 from its current R+12 Cook PVI into a competitive or blue-leaning seat, potentially flipping it from incumbent Ben Cline's (R) safe hold—where he won by 26 points in 2024 with $521,000 cash on hand and no primary opponent. Recent GOP wins, like the March 17 special election in the district, and strong early referendum turnout in Republican areas have failed to reverse the sharp odds shift from mid-March, amplified by thin liquidity; Beth Macy leads Democratic primary fundraising at $528,000 cash amid a crowded field including Pete Barlow and Ken Mitchell.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertVA-06 Wahlsieger
VA-06 Wahlsieger
$33,165 Vol.
$33,165 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
78%
Republikanische Partei
20%
$33,165 Vol.
$33,165 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$19,814 Vol.
78%
Republikanische Partei
$13,351 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 77.5% in Virginia's 6th Congressional District House race, driven by anticipation surrounding the April 21 constitutional amendment referendum allowing the Democratic-controlled General Assembly to draw new congressional maps for 2026 midterms. Proposed maps would reshape VA-06 from its current R+12 Cook PVI into a competitive or blue-leaning seat, potentially flipping it from incumbent Ben Cline's (R) safe hold—where he won by 26 points in 2024 with $521,000 cash on hand and no primary opponent. Recent GOP wins, like the March 17 special election in the district, and strong early referendum turnout in Republican areas have failed to reverse the sharp odds shift from mid-March, amplified by thin liquidity; Beth Macy leads Democratic primary fundraising at $528,000 cash amid a crowded field including Pete Barlow and Ken Mitchell.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$33,165Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 77.5% in Virginia's 6th Congressional District House race, driven by anticipation surrounding the April 21 constitutional amendment referendum allowing the Democratic-controlled General Assembly to draw new congressional maps for 2026 midterms. Proposed maps would reshape VA-06 from its current R+12 Cook PVI into a competitive or blue-leaning seat, potentially flipping it from incumbent Ben Cline's (R) safe hold—where he won by 26 points in 2024 with $521,000 cash on hand and no primary opponent. Recent GOP wins, like the March 17 special election in the district, and strong early referendum turnout in Republican areas have failed to reverse the sharp odds shift from mid-March, amplified by thin liquidity; Beth Macy leads Democratic primary fundraising at $528,000 cash amid a crowded field including Pete Barlow and Ken Mitchell.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$33,165Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 77.5% in Virginia's 6th Congressional District House race, driven by anticipation surrounding the April 21 constitutional amendment referendum allowing the Democratic-controlled General Assembly to draw new congressional maps for 2026 midterms. Proposed maps would reshape VA-06 from its current R+12 Cook PVI into a competitive or blue-leaning seat, potentially flipping it from incumbent Ben Cline's (R) safe hold—where he won by 26 points in 2024 with $521,000 cash on hand and no primary opponent. Recent GOP wins, like the March 17 special election in the district, and strong early referendum turnout in Republican areas have failed to reverse the sharp odds shift from mid-March, amplified by thin liquidity; Beth Macy leads Democratic primary fundraising at $528,000 cash amid a crowded field including Pete Barlow and Ken Mitchell.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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