Trader consensus prices a Republican win in Utah's 4th Congressional District at 90.5%, reflecting the seat's solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and safe Republican status per Sabato's Crystal Ball under court-ordered redistricting that retains conservative strongholds. Incumbent Rep. Burgess Owens' March 4 retirement announcement opened the race, drawing a crowded seven-candidate Republican primary field led by former state legislator Mike Kennedy, while Democrats field only Jonny Larsen and Archie Williams ahead of April conventions and June 23 primaries. This commanding position stems from the district's entrenched GOP dominance, historical incumbency advantages, and thin Democratic bench in reliably red Utah. Upsets would require a fractured GOP nominee, major scandal, or national Democratic wave shifting midterm turnout dynamics.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertUT-04 Wahlsieger
UT-04 Wahlsieger
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Republikanische Partei
91%
Demokratische Partei
8%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Republikanische Partei
$799 Vol.
91%
Demokratische Partei
$2,061 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices a Republican win in Utah's 4th Congressional District at 90.5%, reflecting the seat's solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and safe Republican status per Sabato's Crystal Ball under court-ordered redistricting that retains conservative strongholds. Incumbent Rep. Burgess Owens' March 4 retirement announcement opened the race, drawing a crowded seven-candidate Republican primary field led by former state legislator Mike Kennedy, while Democrats field only Jonny Larsen and Archie Williams ahead of April conventions and June 23 primaries. This commanding position stems from the district's entrenched GOP dominance, historical incumbency advantages, and thin Democratic bench in reliably red Utah. Upsets would require a fractured GOP nominee, major scandal, or national Democratic wave shifting midterm turnout dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$2,860Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices a Republican win in Utah's 4th Congressional District at 90.5%, reflecting the seat's solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and safe Republican status per Sabato's Crystal Ball under court-ordered redistricting that retains conservative strongholds. Incumbent Rep. Burgess Owens' March 4 retirement announcement opened the race, drawing a crowded seven-candidate Republican primary field led by former state legislator Mike Kennedy, while Democrats field only Jonny Larsen and Archie Williams ahead of April conventions and June 23 primaries. This commanding position stems from the district's entrenched GOP dominance, historical incumbency advantages, and thin Democratic bench in reliably red Utah. Upsets would require a fractured GOP nominee, major scandal, or national Democratic wave shifting midterm turnout dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$2,860Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices a Republican win in Utah's 4th Congressional District at 90.5%, reflecting the seat's solid Republican rating from Cook Political Report and safe Republican status per Sabato's Crystal Ball under court-ordered redistricting that retains conservative strongholds. Incumbent Rep. Burgess Owens' March 4 retirement announcement opened the race, drawing a crowded seven-candidate Republican primary field led by former state legislator Mike Kennedy, while Democrats field only Jonny Larsen and Archie Williams ahead of April conventions and June 23 primaries. This commanding position stems from the district's entrenched GOP dominance, historical incumbency advantages, and thin Democratic bench in reliably red Utah. Upsets would require a fractured GOP nominee, major scandal, or national Democratic wave shifting midterm turnout dynamics.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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