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US tariffs on European cars before May?

Market icon

US tariffs on European cars before May?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$10,796 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$10,796 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action which creates, lifts a suspension on, or raises tariffs on imports of automobiles or from the automobile sector, into the US from any European Union member state, by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Any modification of existing tariffs which is reported as increasing the total amount of tariffs on automobiles or automobile-related products from any EU member state (measured in dollar value) will qualify, regardless of how the reduction is structured.

Any action which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the removal goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Volumen
$10,796
Enddatum
Apr 30, 2025
Markt eröffnet
Mar 12, 2025, 3:50 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action which creates, lifts a suspension on, or raises tariffs on imports of automobiles or from the automobile sector, into the US from any European Union member state, by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any modification of existing tariffs which is reported as increasing the total amount of tariffs on automobiles or automobile-related products from any EU member state (measured in dollar value) will qualify, regardless of how the reduction is structured. Any action which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the removal goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action which creates, lifts a suspension on, or raises tariffs on imports of automobiles or from the automobile sector, into the US from any European Union member state, by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Any modification of existing tariffs which is reported as increasing the total amount of tariffs on automobiles or automobile-related products from any EU member state (measured in dollar value) will qualify, regardless of how the reduction is structured.

Any action which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the removal goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Volumen
$10,796
Enddatum
Apr 30, 2025
Markt eröffnet
Mar 12, 2025, 3:50 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action which creates, lifts a suspension on, or raises tariffs on imports of automobiles or from the automobile sector, into the US from any European Union member state, by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any modification of existing tariffs which is reported as increasing the total amount of tariffs on automobiles or automobile-related products from any EU member state (measured in dollar value) will qualify, regardless of how the reduction is structured. Any action which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the removal goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Yes

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"US tariffs on European cars before May?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "US tariffs on European cars before May?" has generated $10.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "US tariffs on European cars before May?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "US tariffs on European cars before May?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "US tariffs on European cars before May?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.