US special operations forces conducted a targeted raid into Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife amid escalating tensions over disputed elections and sanctions, but withdrew without establishing a sustained ground presence. In mid-March, President Trump ordered direct military oversight of the interim government in Caracas, incorporating Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth into coordination channels with Venezuelan authorities to monitor the transition and neutralize threats from Maduro loyalists like Diosdado Cabello. No further US troop deployments have occurred, with trader consensus reflecting de-escalation focus, regional diplomatic pressures from allies like Colombia, and international criticism of the initial action. Upcoming transition milestones or Cabello-led resistance could prompt shifts, though constitutional and logistical barriers to re-entry remain high.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$1,255,942 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
31. März
1%
30. Juni
15%
$1,255,942 Vol.
31. März
$2,432 Vol.
1%
30. Juni
$173,421 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special operations forces conducted a targeted raid into Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife amid escalating tensions over disputed elections and sanctions, but withdrew without establishing a sustained ground presence. In mid-March, President Trump ordered direct military oversight of the interim government in Caracas, incorporating Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth into coordination channels with Venezuelan authorities to monitor the transition and neutralize threats from Maduro loyalists like Diosdado Cabello. No further US troop deployments have occurred, with trader consensus reflecting de-escalation focus, regional diplomatic pressures from allies like Colombia, and international criticism of the initial action. Upcoming transition milestones or Cabello-led resistance could prompt shifts, though constitutional and logistical barriers to re-entry remain high.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 19, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Volumen
$1,255,942Enddatum
Jun 30, 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 19, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special operations forces conducted a targeted raid into Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife amid escalating tensions over disputed elections and sanctions, but withdrew without establishing a sustained ground presence. In mid-March, President Trump ordered direct military oversight of the interim government in Caracas, incorporating Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth into coordination channels with Venezuelan authorities to monitor the transition and neutralize threats from Maduro loyalists like Diosdado Cabello. No further US troop deployments have occurred, with trader consensus reflecting de-escalation focus, regional diplomatic pressures from allies like Colombia, and international criticism of the initial action. Upcoming transition milestones or Cabello-led resistance could prompt shifts, though constitutional and logistical barriers to re-entry remain high.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,255,942Enddatum
Jun 30, 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 19, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US special operations forces conducted a targeted raid into Caracas on January 3, 2026, capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife amid escalating tensions over disputed elections and sanctions, but withdrew without establishing a sustained ground presence. In mid-March, President Trump ordered direct military oversight of the interim government in Caracas, incorporating Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth into coordination channels with Venezuelan authorities to monitor the transition and neutralize threats from Maduro loyalists like Diosdado Cabello. No further US troop deployments have occurred, with trader consensus reflecting de-escalation focus, regional diplomatic pressures from allies like Colombia, and international criticism of the initial action. Upcoming transition milestones or Cabello-led resistance could prompt shifts, though constitutional and logistical barriers to re-entry remain high.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen