US special operations forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, launching Operation Absolute Resolve with strikes on Caracas targets and capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores, who face US drug trafficking charges in New York. This marked the first such incursion since prior tensions, leading to Maduro loyalists installing Delcy Rodríguez as interim president, sworn in by the National Assembly. Recent de-escalation includes the US reopening its embassy on March 30 and lifting sanctions on Rodríguez on April 2 to foster economic recovery and political reconciliation. No further troop deployments reported, with diplomatic progress signaling reduced escalation risks ahead of any potential transition deadlines or regional summits. Trader consensus reflects stabilization, though unrest or alliance shifts could prompt renewed military action.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$1,257,502 Vol.
31. Jan. 2026
31. März
1%
30. Juni
13%
$1,257,502 Vol.
31. März
$3,502 Vol.
1%
30. Juni
$173,910 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special operations forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, launching Operation Absolute Resolve with strikes on Caracas targets and capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores, who face US drug trafficking charges in New York. This marked the first such incursion since prior tensions, leading to Maduro loyalists installing Delcy Rodríguez as interim president, sworn in by the National Assembly. Recent de-escalation includes the US reopening its embassy on March 30 and lifting sanctions on Rodríguez on April 2 to foster economic recovery and political reconciliation. No further troop deployments reported, with diplomatic progress signaling reduced escalation risks ahead of any potential transition deadlines or regional summits. Trader consensus reflects stabilization, though unrest or alliance shifts could prompt renewed military action.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 19, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Volumen
$1,257,502Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 19, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special operations forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, launching Operation Absolute Resolve with strikes on Caracas targets and capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores, who face US drug trafficking charges in New York. This marked the first such incursion since prior tensions, leading to Maduro loyalists installing Delcy Rodríguez as interim president, sworn in by the National Assembly. Recent de-escalation includes the US reopening its embassy on March 30 and lifting sanctions on Rodríguez on April 2 to foster economic recovery and political reconciliation. No further troop deployments reported, with diplomatic progress signaling reduced escalation risks ahead of any potential transition deadlines or regional summits. Trader consensus reflects stabilization, though unrest or alliance shifts could prompt renewed military action.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,257,502Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 19, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US special operations forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, launching Operation Absolute Resolve with strikes on Caracas targets and capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores, who face US drug trafficking charges in New York. This marked the first such incursion since prior tensions, leading to Maduro loyalists installing Delcy Rodríguez as interim president, sworn in by the National Assembly. Recent de-escalation includes the US reopening its embassy on March 30 and lifting sanctions on Rodríguez on April 2 to foster economic recovery and political reconciliation. No further troop deployments reported, with diplomatic progress signaling reduced escalation risks ahead of any potential transition deadlines or regional summits. Trader consensus reflects stabilization, though unrest or alliance shifts could prompt renewed military action.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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