US forces conducted a targeted military intervention in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife in a raid on his Caracas compound, prompting interim leadership under Delcy Rodríguez. In the past week, the US reopened its embassy in Caracas on March 31 and lifted sanctions on Rodríguez on April 1, marking diplomatic normalization three months post-operation. Mid-March reports indicated President Trump ordering direct military oversight, including potential troop increases amid threats from Diosdado Cabello loyalists and colectivos, to supervise the transition and neutralize regime holdouts. No verified new ground entries have occurred since January, but traders watch for escalation signals, Venezuelan high command compliance, and stability in oil partnership talks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$1,260,342 Vol.
31. Jan. 2026
31. März
1%
30. Juni
11%
$1,260,342 Vol.
31. März
$3,502 Vol.
1%
30. Juni
$176,751 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US forces conducted a targeted military intervention in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife in a raid on his Caracas compound, prompting interim leadership under Delcy Rodríguez. In the past week, the US reopened its embassy in Caracas on March 31 and lifted sanctions on Rodríguez on April 1, marking diplomatic normalization three months post-operation. Mid-March reports indicated President Trump ordering direct military oversight, including potential troop increases amid threats from Diosdado Cabello loyalists and colectivos, to supervise the transition and neutralize regime holdouts. No verified new ground entries have occurred since January, but traders watch for escalation signals, Venezuelan high command compliance, and stability in oil partnership talks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 19, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Volumen
$1,260,342Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 19, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US forces conducted a targeted military intervention in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife in a raid on his Caracas compound, prompting interim leadership under Delcy Rodríguez. In the past week, the US reopened its embassy in Caracas on March 31 and lifted sanctions on Rodríguez on April 1, marking diplomatic normalization three months post-operation. Mid-March reports indicated President Trump ordering direct military oversight, including potential troop increases amid threats from Diosdado Cabello loyalists and colectivos, to supervise the transition and neutralize regime holdouts. No verified new ground entries have occurred since January, but traders watch for escalation signals, Venezuelan high command compliance, and stability in oil partnership talks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,260,342Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 19, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US forces conducted a targeted military intervention in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Nicolás Maduro and his wife in a raid on his Caracas compound, prompting interim leadership under Delcy Rodríguez. In the past week, the US reopened its embassy in Caracas on March 31 and lifted sanctions on Rodríguez on April 1, marking diplomatic normalization three months post-operation. Mid-March reports indicated President Trump ordering direct military oversight, including potential troop increases amid threats from Diosdado Cabello loyalists and colectivos, to supervise the transition and neutralize regime holdouts. No verified new ground entries have occurred since January, but traders watch for escalation signals, Venezuelan high command compliance, and stability in oil partnership talks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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