Lack of substantive peace negotiations between Ukraine and Russia, coupled with Moscow's battlefield gains in Donetsk, drives the 80% trader consensus against a peace referendum passing before 2027. President Zelenskyy's October 2024 announcement of potential referendums on security guarantees and territorial terms remains stalled, as Kyiv demands full withdrawal from occupied lands while Putin insists on recognition of annexations and neutrality. Ukraine's constitution mandates referendums for concessions, but polls show scant public support amid war fatigue. President-elect Trump's pledges for quick resolution have spurred no diplomatic breakthroughs, with recent EU aid packages and Russian strikes underscoring entrenched deadlock and low near-term resolution odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertUkraine-Friedensreferendum vor 2027 verabschiedet?
Ukraine-Friedensreferendum vor 2027 verabschiedet?
Ja
Ja
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Lack of substantive peace negotiations between Ukraine and Russia, coupled with Moscow's battlefield gains in Donetsk, drives the 80% trader consensus against a peace referendum passing before 2027. President Zelenskyy's October 2024 announcement of potential referendums on security guarantees and territorial terms remains stalled, as Kyiv demands full withdrawal from occupied lands while Putin insists on recognition of annexations and neutrality. Ukraine's constitution mandates referendums for concessions, but polls show scant public support amid war fatigue. President-elect Trump's pledges for quick resolution have spurred no diplomatic breakthroughs, with recent EU aid packages and Russian strikes underscoring entrenched deadlock and low near-term resolution odds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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