Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors President Trump's approval rating falling in the 40.0–40.4% range on March 27, reflecting recent polling averages hovering tightly around that mark amid steady but polarized public sentiment. Gallup's March 20–23 poll showed 40% approval, while Rasmussen's tracker dipped to 40.3% after controversy over his March 18 executive order expanding border deportations, which drew criticism from Democrats and some business groups despite support from Republican base voters. Strong economic indicators, including February jobs data exceeding expectations, provided a partial offset but failed to lift ratings above 41% in aggregates like RealClearPolitics. With no major catalysts in the past 48 hours, traders anticipate stability ahead of the Federal Reserve's March 31–April 1 meeting, which could sway consumer confidence and polling.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertTrump approval rating on March 27?
Trump approval rating on March 27?
40.0–40.4 87%
<40.0 17%
40.5–40.9 4.7%
42.0+ <1%
$51,607 Vol.
$51,607 Vol.
<40.0
17%
40.0–40.4
82%
40.5–40.9
5%
41.0–41.4
<1%
41.5–41.9
<1%
42.0+
1%
40.0–40.4 87%
<40.0 17%
40.5–40.9 4.7%
42.0+ <1%
$51,607 Vol.
$51,607 Vol.
<40.0
17%
40.0–40.4
82%
40.5–40.9
5%
41.0–41.4
<1%
41.5–41.9
<1%
42.0+
1%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 20, 2026, 2:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors President Trump's approval rating falling in the 40.0–40.4% range on March 27, reflecting recent polling averages hovering tightly around that mark amid steady but polarized public sentiment. Gallup's March 20–23 poll showed 40% approval, while Rasmussen's tracker dipped to 40.3% after controversy over his March 18 executive order expanding border deportations, which drew criticism from Democrats and some business groups despite support from Republican base voters. Strong economic indicators, including February jobs data exceeding expectations, provided a partial offset but failed to lift ratings above 41% in aggregates like RealClearPolitics. With no major catalysts in the past 48 hours, traders anticipate stability ahead of the Federal Reserve's March 31–April 1 meeting, which could sway consumer confidence and polling.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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