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icon for Romania No-Confidence vote passes?

Romania No-Confidence vote passes?

icon for Romania No-Confidence vote passes?

Romania No-Confidence vote passes?

84% Chance
Polymarket

$6,161 Vol.

84% Chance
Polymarket

$6,161 Vol.

A no-confidence motion against the government of Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan is expected to be voted upon in the Romanian parliament on May 5, 2026 (see: https://www.reuters.com/business/romanias-two-largest-parties-call-no-confidence-vote-pro-european-government-2026-04-28/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the no-confidence motion against the Romanian government submitted on April 28, 2026 passes in the Romanian Parliament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the referenced motion of no confidence against the Romanian government is withdrawn, dismissed, or otherwise removed from consideration, this market will resolve to “No”. If no vote is held on the referenced motion of no confidence by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Romanian Parliament; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's parliament faces a no-confidence vote on May 5 against Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's Liberal-led pro-European minority government, triggered by the Social Democrats' (PSD) abrupt exit from the ruling coalition on April 23 after resigning seven ministers over fiscal reform disputes. PSD has partnered with hard-right AUR, commanding about 220 seats in the 464-seat chamber—short of the 233 required to pass—but AUR's leader claims confidence in defections, while some signatories reportedly wavering. President Nicușor Dan urges stability amid leu depreciation and economic pressures, noting Romania's Western alignment persists regardless. The razor-thin parliamentary arithmetic and potential for last-minute shifts define trader focus ahead of this pivotal procedural vote.

A no-confidence motion against the government of Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan is expected to be voted upon in the Romanian parliament on May 5, 2026 (see: https://www.reuters.com/business/romanias-two-largest-parties-call-no-confidence-vote-pro-european-government-2026-04-28/).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the no-confidence motion against the Romanian government submitted on April 28, 2026 passes in the Romanian Parliament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the referenced motion of no confidence against the Romanian government is withdrawn, dismissed, or otherwise removed from consideration, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no vote is held on the referenced motion of no confidence by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Romanian Parliament; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$6,161
Enddatum
5. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
A no-confidence motion against the government of Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan is expected to be voted upon in the Romanian parliament on May 5, 2026 (see: https://www.reuters.com/business/romanias-two-largest-parties-call-no-confidence-vote-pro-european-government-2026-04-28/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the no-confidence motion against the Romanian government submitted on April 28, 2026 passes in the Romanian Parliament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the referenced motion of no confidence against the Romanian government is withdrawn, dismissed, or otherwise removed from consideration, this market will resolve to “No”. If no vote is held on the referenced motion of no confidence by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Romanian Parliament; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A no-confidence motion against the government of Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan is expected to be voted upon in the Romanian parliament on May 5, 2026 (see: https://www.reuters.com/business/romanias-two-largest-parties-call-no-confidence-vote-pro-european-government-2026-04-28/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the no-confidence motion against the Romanian government submitted on April 28, 2026 passes in the Romanian Parliament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the referenced motion of no confidence against the Romanian government is withdrawn, dismissed, or otherwise removed from consideration, this market will resolve to “No”. If no vote is held on the referenced motion of no confidence by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Romanian Parliament; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's parliament faces a no-confidence vote on May 5 against Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's Liberal-led pro-European minority government, triggered by the Social Democrats' (PSD) abrupt exit from the ruling coalition on April 23 after resigning seven ministers over fiscal reform disputes. PSD has partnered with hard-right AUR, commanding about 220 seats in the 464-seat chamber—short of the 233 required to pass—but AUR's leader claims confidence in defections, while some signatories reportedly wavering. President Nicușor Dan urges stability amid leu depreciation and economic pressures, noting Romania's Western alignment persists regardless. The razor-thin parliamentary arithmetic and potential for last-minute shifts define trader focus ahead of this pivotal procedural vote.

A no-confidence motion against the government of Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan is expected to be voted upon in the Romanian parliament on May 5, 2026 (see: https://www.reuters.com/business/romanias-two-largest-parties-call-no-confidence-vote-pro-european-government-2026-04-28/).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the no-confidence motion against the Romanian government submitted on April 28, 2026 passes in the Romanian Parliament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the referenced motion of no confidence against the Romanian government is withdrawn, dismissed, or otherwise removed from consideration, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no vote is held on the referenced motion of no confidence by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Romanian Parliament; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$6,377
Enddatum
5. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 4, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
A no-confidence motion against the government of Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan is expected to be voted upon in the Romanian parliament on May 5, 2026 (see: https://www.reuters.com/business/romanias-two-largest-parties-call-no-confidence-vote-pro-european-government-2026-04-28/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the no-confidence motion against the Romanian government submitted on April 28, 2026 passes in the Romanian Parliament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the referenced motion of no confidence against the Romanian government is withdrawn, dismissed, or otherwise removed from consideration, this market will resolve to “No”. If no vote is held on the referenced motion of no confidence by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Romanian Parliament; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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„Romania No-Confidence vote passes?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket, auf dem Händler „Ja"- oder „Nein"-Anteile kaufen und verkaufen, je nachdem, ob sie glauben, dass dieses Ereignis eintreten wird. Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit laut Community liegt bei 84% für „Yes". Wird „Ja" beispielsweise bei 84¢ gehandelt, schätzt der Markt die Wahrscheinlichkeit des Eintretens auf 84%. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen und Informationen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Romania No-Confidence vote passes?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am May 4, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Romania No-Confidence vote passes?" zu handeln, wählen Sie einfach, ob Sie glauben, dass die Antwort „Ja" oder „Nein" lautet. Jede Seite hat einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes widerspiegelt. Geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Wenn Sie „Ja"-Anteile kaufen und das Ergebnis als „Ja" aufgelöst wird, zahlt jeder Anteil $1 aus. Wird es als „Nein" aufgelöst, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen, um einen Gewinn zu sichern oder einen Verlust zu begrenzen.

Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit für „Romania No-Confidence vote passes?" liegt bei 84% für „Yes". Das bedeutet, die Polymarket-Community glaubt derzeit, dass eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 84% besteht, dass dieses Ereignis eintritt. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit auf Basis tatsächlicher Handelsgeschäfte aktualisiert und liefern ein ständig aktualisiertes Signal dessen, was der Markt erwartet.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Romania No-Confidence vote passes?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.