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Technik·Big Tech

OpenAI IPO Closing Marktkapitalisierung

Market icon
Technik·Big Tech

OpenAI IPO Closing Marktkapitalisierung

Dez. 31

Dez. 31, 2027

Dez. 31

Dez. 31, 2027

Kein IPO bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 64%

1,25T–1,5T 9.8%

1,5T+ 7.2%

1T–1,25T 7.1%

Polymarket

$1,544,596 Vol.

Kein IPO bis zum 31. Dezember 2026 64%

1,25T–1,5T 9.8%

1,5T+ 7.2%

1T–1,25T 7.1%

Polymarket

$1,544,596 Vol.

<500 Mrd.

$256,616 Vol.

5%

500–750 Mrd.

$138,423 Vol.

2%

750 Mrd.–1 Bio.

$129,083 Vol.

6%

1T–1,25T

$171,472 Vol.

7%

1,25T–1,5T

$486,465 Vol.

10%

1,5T+

$91,397 Vol.

7%

Kein IPO bis zum 31. Dezember 2026

$271,139 Vol.

64%

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no OpenAI IPO by December 31, 2026, at a 64% implied probability, reflecting skepticism over unconfirmed timelines despite persistent rumors of a Q4 listing to preempt rivals like Anthropic. Recent catalysts include OpenAI's record $122 billion funding round closed this week—history's largest private raise—at an $852 billion valuation, backed by Amazon, Nvidia, SoftBank, and $3 billion from retail investors, diminishing immediate public market pressure. The company is streamlining for profitability, axing consumer projects like Sora to prioritize high-margin enterprise AI tools amid $25 billion annualized revenue, while hiring ex-DocuSign CFO Sarah Friar bolsters finance team for potential S-1 filing. High-cap outcomes like 1.25T–1.5T (9.8%) hinge on IPO execution and public market enthusiasm for AI dominance, but regulatory scrutiny and valuation discounts pose risks.

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$1,544,596
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no OpenAI IPO by December 31, 2026, at a 64% implied probability, reflecting skepticism over unconfirmed timelines despite persistent rumors of a Q4 listing to preempt rivals like Anthropic. Recent catalysts include OpenAI's record $122 billion funding round closed this week—history's largest private raise—at an $852 billion valuation, backed by Amazon, Nvidia, SoftBank, and $3 billion from retail investors, diminishing immediate public market pressure. The company is streamlining for profitability, axing consumer projects like Sora to prioritize high-margin enterprise AI tools amid $25 billion annualized revenue, while hiring ex-DocuSign CFO Sarah Friar bolsters finance team for potential S-1 filing. High-cap outcomes like 1.25T–1.5T (9.8%) hinge on IPO execution and public market enthusiasm for AI dominance, but regulatory scrutiny and valuation discounts pose risks.

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$1,544,596
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„OpenAI IPO Closing Marktkapitalisierung" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 7 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Kein IPO bis zum 31. Dezember 2026" mit 64%, gefolgt von „1,25T–1,5T" mit 10%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 64¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 64% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „OpenAI IPO Closing Marktkapitalisierung" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $1.5 million generiert, seit der Markt am Sep 23, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „OpenAI IPO Closing Marktkapitalisierung" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 7 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „OpenAI IPO Closing Marktkapitalisierung" ist „Kein IPO bis zum 31. Dezember 2026" mit 64%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 64% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „1,25T–1,5T" mit 10%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „OpenAI IPO Closing Marktkapitalisierung" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.