New York’s 7th congressional district maintains a deep Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+25 and consistent strong performance in recent cycles. Longtime incumbent Nydia Velázquez’s retirement has opened the seat for a June 23 Democratic primary among candidates including Antonio Reynoso and Claire Valdez, yet the general election on November 3 remains a formality because no credible Republican has emerged with meaningful fundraising or organizational strength. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome at 93.5% aligns with these structural factors and the district’s urban New York City composition. A late scandal involving the eventual nominee or an unforeseen national political shift could still narrow the margin, though such developments have rarely altered results in this longtime Democratic stronghold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNY-07 Wahlsieger
NY-07 Wahlsieger
$18,940 Vol.
$18,940 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
94%
Republikanische Partei
7%
$18,940 Vol.
$18,940 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$11,097 Vol.
94%
Republikanische Partei
$7,843 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 7th congressional district maintains a deep Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+25 and consistent strong performance in recent cycles. Longtime incumbent Nydia Velázquez’s retirement has opened the seat for a June 23 Democratic primary among candidates including Antonio Reynoso and Claire Valdez, yet the general election on November 3 remains a formality because no credible Republican has emerged with meaningful fundraising or organizational strength. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome at 93.5% aligns with these structural factors and the district’s urban New York City composition. A late scandal involving the eventual nominee or an unforeseen national political shift could still narrow the margin, though such developments have rarely altered results in this longtime Democratic stronghold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volumen
$18,940Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 7th congressional district maintains a deep Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+25 and consistent strong performance in recent cycles. Longtime incumbent Nydia Velázquez’s retirement has opened the seat for a June 23 Democratic primary among candidates including Antonio Reynoso and Claire Valdez, yet the general election on November 3 remains a formality because no credible Republican has emerged with meaningful fundraising or organizational strength. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome at 93.5% aligns with these structural factors and the district’s urban New York City composition. A late scandal involving the eventual nominee or an unforeseen national political shift could still narrow the margin, though such developments have rarely altered results in this longtime Democratic stronghold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$18,940Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 7th congressional district maintains a deep Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+25 and consistent strong performance in recent cycles. Longtime incumbent Nydia Velázquez’s retirement has opened the seat for a June 23 Democratic primary among candidates including Antonio Reynoso and Claire Valdez, yet the general election on November 3 remains a formality because no credible Republican has emerged with meaningful fundraising or organizational strength. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome at 93.5% aligns with these structural factors and the district’s urban New York City composition. A late scandal involving the eventual nominee or an unforeseen national political shift could still narrow the margin, though such developments have rarely altered results in this longtime Democratic stronghold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen