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Next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission (CMC)?

Market icon

Next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission (CMC)?

Zhang Shengmin 100.0%

Liu Zhenli <1%

Hu Zhongming <1%

Li Qiaoming <1%

Polymarket

$10,176 Vol.

Zhang Shengmin 100.0%

Liu Zhenli <1%

Hu Zhongming <1%

Li Qiaoming <1%

Polymarket

$10,176 Vol.

Liu Zhenli

$3,053 Vol.

No

Zhang Shengmin

$2,996 Vol.

Yes

Hu Zhongming

$553 Vol.

No

Li Qiaoming

$1,458 Vol.

No

Wang Haijiang

$1,373 Vol.

No

None by June 30

$743 Vol.

No

This market resolves to the next individual officially announced as a Vice Chair (“中央军委副主席”) of the Communist Party of China’s Central Military Commission (CMC) after market creation.

If multiple individuals are announced on the same day, the market will resolve in favor of the individual who was announced first by an official source.

If multiple individuals are officially announced simultaneously as CMC Vice Chairs in the same official document/broadcast, the market will resolve in accordance with the listed order indicated by the official announcement. If no order is indicated the market will resolve according to the alphabetical order of the individuals listed last name.

If no Vice Chair (“中央军委副主席”) of the Communist Party of China’s Central Military Commission (CMC) is announced by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”.

The primary resolution sources will be official Chinese state announcements (such as Xinhua bulletins, People’s Daily readouts, etc.) However a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$10,176
Enddatum
Jun 30, 2026
Markt eröffnet
Oct 20, 2025, 6:26 PM ET
This market resolves to the next individual officially announced as a Vice Chair (“中央军委副主席”) of the Communist Party of China’s Central Military Commission (CMC) after market creation. If multiple individuals are announced on the same day, the market will resolve in favor of the individual who was announced first by an official source. If multiple individuals are officially announced simultaneously as CMC Vice Chairs in the same official document/broadcast, the market will resolve in accordance with the listed order indicated by the official announcement. If no order is indicated the market will resolve according to the alphabetical order of the individuals listed last name. If no Vice Chair (“中央军委副主席”) of the Communist Party of China’s Central Military Commission (CMC) is announced by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”. The primary resolution sources will be official Chinese state announcements (such as Xinhua bulletins, People’s Daily readouts, etc.) However a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission (CMC)?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Zhang Shengmin" at 100%, followed by "Liu Zhenli" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission (CMC)?" has generated $10.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 20, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission (CMC)?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission (CMC)?" is "Zhang Shengmin" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Liu Zhenli" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Vice Chair of China’s Central Military Commission (CMC)?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.